Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.8% for Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by March 31, driven by the absence of any diplomatic breakthrough amid ongoing US military pressure and stalled indirect talks mediated by Oman. IAEA reports from early March highlighted Iran's restricted access to nuclear sites, underground storage of highly enriched uranium stockpiles, and unverifiable suspension of enrichment activities following 2025 Israeli strikes and recent US airstrikes on facilities like Natanz. Tehran has rejected permanent dismantlement demands, prioritizing defense against escalation despite Trump's public insistence on full abandonment of nuclear ambitions. With the deadline imminent and no scheduled negotiations, traders see negligible chance of compliance; only an abrupt official concession or ceasefire-linked deal could shift outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertStimmt der Iran zu, die Anreicherung von Uran bis zum 31. März zu beenden?
Stimmt der Iran zu, die Anreicherung von Uran bis zum 31. März zu beenden?
Ja
$2,150,752 Vol.
$2,150,752 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Ja
$2,150,752 Vol.
$2,150,752 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.8% for Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by March 31, driven by the absence of any diplomatic breakthrough amid ongoing US military pressure and stalled indirect talks mediated by Oman. IAEA reports from early March highlighted Iran's restricted access to nuclear sites, underground storage of highly enriched uranium stockpiles, and unverifiable suspension of enrichment activities following 2025 Israeli strikes and recent US airstrikes on facilities like Natanz. Tehran has rejected permanent dismantlement demands, prioritizing defense against escalation despite Trump's public insistence on full abandonment of nuclear ambitions. With the deadline imminent and no scheduled negotiations, traders see negligible chance of compliance; only an abrupt official concession or ceasefire-linked deal could shift outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Volumen
$2,150,752Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.8% for Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by March 31, driven by the absence of any diplomatic breakthrough amid ongoing US military pressure and stalled indirect talks mediated by Oman. IAEA reports from early March highlighted Iran's restricted access to nuclear sites, underground storage of highly enriched uranium stockpiles, and unverifiable suspension of enrichment activities following 2025 Israeli strikes and recent US airstrikes on facilities like Natanz. Tehran has rejected permanent dismantlement demands, prioritizing defense against escalation despite Trump's public insistence on full abandonment of nuclear ambitions. With the deadline imminent and no scheduled negotiations, traders see negligible chance of compliance; only an abrupt official concession or ceasefire-linked deal could shift outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$2,150,752Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.8% for Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by March 31, driven by the absence of any diplomatic breakthrough amid ongoing US military pressure and stalled indirect talks mediated by Oman. IAEA reports from early March highlighted Iran's restricted access to nuclear sites, underground storage of highly enriched uranium stockpiles, and unverifiable suspension of enrichment activities following 2025 Israeli strikes and recent US airstrikes on facilities like Natanz. Tehran has rejected permanent dismantlement demands, prioritizing defense against escalation despite Trump's public insistence on full abandonment of nuclear ambitions. With the deadline imminent and no scheduled negotiations, traders see negligible chance of compliance; only an abrupt official concession or ceasefire-linked deal could shift outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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