Next leader out of power before 2027?
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Starmer - UK PM 44%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President 20%
Orbán - Hungary PM 19%
Lecornu - France PM 5.9%
$41,371 Vol.
$41,371 Vol.
Starmer - UK PM
44%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
20%
Orbán - Hungary PM
19%
Lecornu - France PM
6%
None before 2027
3%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
3%
Abbas - President of Palestine
3%
Trump - USA President
3%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
3%
Takaichi - Japan PM
2%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
2%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
2%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
2%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
2%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
2%
Putin - Russia President
2%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
2%
Newsom - California Governor
2%
Milei - Argentina President
1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
1%
Macron - France President
1%
Petro - Colombia President
1%
Albanese - Australia PM
1%
Merz - German Chancellor
7%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
1%
Starmer - UK PM 44%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President 20%
Orbán - Hungary PM 19%
Lecornu - France PM 5.9%
$41,371 Vol.
$41,371 Vol.
Starmer - UK PM
44%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
20%
Orbán - Hungary PM
19%
Lecornu - France PM
6%
None before 2027
3%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
3%
Abbas - President of Palestine
3%
Trump - USA President
3%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
3%
Takaichi - Japan PM
2%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
2%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
2%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
2%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
2%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
2%
Putin - Russia President
2%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
2%
Newsom - California Governor
2%
Milei - Argentina President
1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
1%
Macron - France President
1%
Petro - Colombia President
1%
Albanese - Australia PM
1%
Merz - German Chancellor
7%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
1%
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 2, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Frequently Asked Questions