No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days regarding countries joining the Board of Peace by March 31, leaving trader consensus to reflect a static diplomatic landscape with low implied probabilities for new members. The board, aimed at coordinating international peace efforts, has seen no official announcements, endorsements, or negotiations from foreign ministries or international organizations like the UN. Geopolitical tensions, including ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, continue to define reluctance among potential participants such as major powers or regional blocs. Traders should watch for late-March summits or bilateral talks that could prompt commitments, as the market resolves based on verified accessions before the deadline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$2,309,557 Vol.
Indien
3%
China
2%
Vereinigtes Königreich
2%
Italien
2%
Belgien
1%
Brasilien
1%
Finnland
1%
Deutschland
1%
Frankreich
1%
Schweden
1%
Russland
1%
Dänemark
1%
Niederlande
1%
Norwegen
1%
Schweiz
1%
Palästina
<1%
Spanien
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
$2,309,557 Vol.
Indien
3%
China
2%
Vereinigtes Königreich
2%
Italien
2%
Belgien
1%
Brasilien
1%
Finnland
1%
Deutschland
1%
Frankreich
1%
Schweden
1%
Russland
1%
Dänemark
1%
Niederlande
1%
Norwegen
1%
Schweiz
1%
Palästina
<1%
Spanien
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 20, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days regarding countries joining the Board of Peace by March 31, leaving trader consensus to reflect a static diplomatic landscape with low implied probabilities for new members. The board, aimed at coordinating international peace efforts, has seen no official announcements, endorsements, or negotiations from foreign ministries or international organizations like the UN. Geopolitical tensions, including ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, continue to define reluctance among potential participants such as major powers or regional blocs. Traders should watch for late-March summits or bilateral talks that could prompt commitments, as the market resolves based on verified accessions before the deadline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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