White House confirmation of a Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14–15 has solidified trader consensus around a formal handshake occurring, elevating longer-duration outcomes amid bilateral negotiations on tariffs, fentanyl, and Taiwan. The gathering, rescheduled after a March delay tied to the Iran conflict, contrasts with their perfunctory 73-second tarmac encounter in Busan last October, where minimal contact reflected tense optics. Protocol for a state visit hosted by Xi favors extended greetings signaling mutual respect—echoing Xi's February call for cooperative 2026 ties—despite Trump's recent "good relationship" remarks on China. Shorter or no-handshake bets lag as summit momentum builds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert15s+ 41%
6–10s 21%
10–15s 20%
2–6 s 11%
$39,667 Vol.
$39,667 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Kein Händedruck
5%
<2s
3%
2–6 s
11%
6–10s
21%
10–15s
20%
15s+
41%
Nur fotografiert
2%
15s+ 41%
6–10s 21%
10–15s 20%
2–6 s 11%
$39,667 Vol.
$39,667 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Kein Händedruck
$8,990 Vol.
5%
<2s
$4,750 Vol.
3%
2–6 s
$8,659 Vol.
11%
6–10s
$3,198 Vol.
21%
10–15s
$0 Vol.
20%
15s+
$5,268 Vol.
41%
Nur fotografiert
$8,802 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.White House confirmation of a Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14–15 has solidified trader consensus around a formal handshake occurring, elevating longer-duration outcomes amid bilateral negotiations on tariffs, fentanyl, and Taiwan. The gathering, rescheduled after a March delay tied to the Iran conflict, contrasts with their perfunctory 73-second tarmac encounter in Busan last October, where minimal contact reflected tense optics. Protocol for a state visit hosted by Xi favors extended greetings signaling mutual respect—echoing Xi's February call for cooperative 2026 ties—despite Trump's recent "good relationship" remarks on China. Shorter or no-handshake bets lag as summit momentum builds.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Volumen
$39,667Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.White House confirmation of a Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14–15 has solidified trader consensus around a formal handshake occurring, elevating longer-duration outcomes amid bilateral negotiations on tariffs, fentanyl, and Taiwan. The gathering, rescheduled after a March delay tied to the Iran conflict, contrasts with their perfunctory 73-second tarmac encounter in Busan last October, where minimal contact reflected tense optics. Protocol for a state visit hosted by Xi favors extended greetings signaling mutual respect—echoing Xi's February call for cooperative 2026 ties—despite Trump's recent "good relationship" remarks on China. Shorter or no-handshake bets lag as summit momentum builds.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Volumen
$39,667Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...White House confirmation of a Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14–15 has solidified trader consensus around a formal handshake occurring, elevating longer-duration outcomes amid bilateral negotiations on tariffs, fentanyl, and Taiwan. The gathering, rescheduled after a March delay tied to the Iran conflict, contrasts with their perfunctory 73-second tarmac encounter in Busan last October, where minimal contact reflected tense optics. Protocol for a state visit hosted by Xi favors extended greetings signaling mutual respect—echoing Xi's February call for cooperative 2026 ties—despite Trump's recent "good relationship" remarks on China. Shorter or no-handshake bets lag as summit momentum builds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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