WTI crude oil futures (CL) have surged over 7% in the latest session to above $100 per barrel—the highest since July 2022—driven primarily by fresh disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz amid escalating Iran tensions and reduced Russian exports from Ukraine conflict fallout. This sharp rally, building on a 42% monthly gain, reflects trader consensus pricing in sustained supply risks, with U.S. rig counts falling as producers pull back. As March 31 settlement nears, geopolitical headlines over the weekend could trigger volatility, while upcoming EIA inventory data and OPEC+ decisions loom as key catalysts influencing final pricing dynamics. Markets now embed elevated risk premiums, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in real-money prediction platforms.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWird Rohöl (CL) bis Ende März __ erreichen?
Wird Rohöl (CL) bis Ende März __ erreichen?
$68,501,331 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $180
<1%
↑ $150
1%
↑ $140
2%
↑ $130
3%
↑ $120
10%
↑ $110
24%
↑ $105
55%
↑ $100
71%
↑ $95
100%
↓ $80
2%
↓ $85
3%
↓ $75
2%
↓ $70
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $65
<1%
↓ $60
<1%
↓ $50
<1%
↓ $55
<1%
↓ $45
<1%
$68,501,331 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $180
<1%
↑ $150
1%
↑ $140
2%
↑ $130
3%
↑ $120
10%
↑ $110
24%
↑ $105
55%
↑ $100
71%
↑ $95
100%
↓ $80
2%
↓ $85
3%
↓ $75
2%
↓ $70
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $65
<1%
↓ $60
<1%
↓ $50
<1%
↓ $55
<1%
↓ $45
<1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil futures (CL) have surged over 7% in the latest session to above $100 per barrel—the highest since July 2022—driven primarily by fresh disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz amid escalating Iran tensions and reduced Russian exports from Ukraine conflict fallout. This sharp rally, building on a 42% monthly gain, reflects trader consensus pricing in sustained supply risks, with U.S. rig counts falling as producers pull back. As March 31 settlement nears, geopolitical headlines over the weekend could trigger volatility, while upcoming EIA inventory data and OPEC+ decisions loom as key catalysts influencing final pricing dynamics. Markets now embed elevated risk premiums, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in real-money prediction platforms.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen