Recent developments in the Middle East, particularly progress toward a U.S.-Iran ceasefire and potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, have triggered a sharp selloff in WTI crude futures, with front-month contracts falling more than 5% to the $76–80 per barrel range as of June 16. This repricing reflects reduced geopolitical risk premiums after months of supply disruptions that had previously pushed benchmarks above $100. Global inventory draws remain elevated due to prior shut-ins exceeding 11 million barrels per day, yet easing tensions and softer near-term demand are pressuring prices lower ahead of the June 30 resolution. Key catalysts include any final diplomatic agreements, weekly EIA inventory data, and OPEC+ production signals, which continue to emphasize gradual adjustments rather than aggressive supply increases. Traders are monitoring these factors closely as the narrow window to month-end limits the scope for major rebounds absent new supply shocks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertRohöl (CL) über ___ Ende Juni?
Rohöl (CL) über ___ Ende Juni?
$144,628 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
90 $
6%
85 $
16%
80 $
35%
75 $
63%
70 $
86%
65 $
91%
63 $
95%
60 $
96%
56 $
99%
55 $
98%
$52
99%
50 $
99%
$144,628 Vol.
90 $
$28,991 Vol.
6%
85 $
$8,588 Vol.
16%
80 $
$6,856 Vol.
35%
75 $
$17,955 Vol.
63%
70 $
$20,725 Vol.
86%
65 $
$1,045 Vol.
91%
63 $
$9,491 Vol.
95%
60 $
$26,325 Vol.
96%
56 $
$5,211 Vol.
99%
55 $
$3,806 Vol.
98%
$52
$6,511 Vol.
99%
50 $
$9,124 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent developments in the Middle East, particularly progress toward a U.S.-Iran ceasefire and potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, have triggered a sharp selloff in WTI crude futures, with front-month contracts falling more than 5% to the $76–80 per barrel range as of June 16. This repricing reflects reduced geopolitical risk premiums after months of supply disruptions that had previously pushed benchmarks above $100. Global inventory draws remain elevated due to prior shut-ins exceeding 11 million barrels per day, yet easing tensions and softer near-term demand are pressuring prices lower ahead of the June 30 resolution. Key catalysts include any final diplomatic agreements, weekly EIA inventory data, and OPEC+ production signals, which continue to emphasize gradual adjustments rather than aggressive supply increases. Traders are monitoring these factors closely as the narrow window to month-end limits the scope for major rebounds absent new supply shocks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volumen
$144,628Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent developments in the Middle East, particularly progress toward a U.S.-Iran ceasefire and potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, have triggered a sharp selloff in WTI crude futures, with front-month contracts falling more than 5% to the $76–80 per barrel range as of June 16. This repricing reflects reduced geopolitical risk premiums after months of supply disruptions that had previously pushed benchmarks above $100. Global inventory draws remain elevated due to prior shut-ins exceeding 11 million barrels per day, yet easing tensions and softer near-term demand are pressuring prices lower ahead of the June 30 resolution. Key catalysts include any final diplomatic agreements, weekly EIA inventory data, and OPEC+ production signals, which continue to emphasize gradual adjustments rather than aggressive supply increases. Traders are monitoring these factors closely as the narrow window to month-end limits the scope for major rebounds absent new supply shocks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volumen
$144,628Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments in the Middle East, particularly progress toward a U.S.-Iran ceasefire and potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, have triggered a sharp selloff in WTI crude futures, with front-month contracts falling more than 5% to the $76–80 per barrel range as of June 16. This repricing reflects reduced geopolitical risk premiums after months of supply disruptions that had previously pushed benchmarks above $100. Global inventory draws remain elevated due to prior shut-ins exceeding 11 million barrels per day, yet easing tensions and softer near-term demand are pressuring prices lower ahead of the June 30 resolution. Key catalysts include any final diplomatic agreements, weekly EIA inventory data, and OPEC+ production signals, which continue to emphasize gradual adjustments rather than aggressive supply increases. Traders are monitoring these factors closely as the narrow window to month-end limits the scope for major rebounds absent new supply shocks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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