Trader sentiment on WTI crude oil (CL) prices exceeding key thresholds by end-June 2026 hinges on recent Middle East de-escalation in the Strait of Hormuz, where initial disruption fears drove Brent above $116 per barrel early May before a 4-7% pullback to around $107-110, with June CL futures settling near $95 after sharp declines. Bullish US inventory draws of 2.3 million barrels for the week ended May 1—milder than the 3.3 million expected—coupled with OPEC+ extensions of voluntary cuts, support near-term firmness amid summer driving season demand. EIA forecasts a 2Q26 Brent peak at $115 before easing, while upcoming catalysts include weekly EIA reports, the June 7 OPEC+ review, and lingering geopolitical risks that could swing market-implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertRohöl (CL) über ___ Ende Juni?
Rohöl (CL) über ___ Ende Juni?
$118,504 Vol.
90 $
59%
85 $
65%
80 $
71%
75 $
74%
70 $
78%
65 $
90%
63 $
92%
60 $
96%
56 $
96%
55 $
98%
$52
96%
50 $
99%
$118,504 Vol.
90 $
59%
85 $
65%
80 $
71%
75 $
74%
70 $
78%
65 $
90%
63 $
92%
60 $
96%
56 $
96%
55 $
98%
$52
96%
50 $
99%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on WTI crude oil (CL) prices exceeding key thresholds by end-June 2026 hinges on recent Middle East de-escalation in the Strait of Hormuz, where initial disruption fears drove Brent above $116 per barrel early May before a 4-7% pullback to around $107-110, with June CL futures settling near $95 after sharp declines. Bullish US inventory draws of 2.3 million barrels for the week ended May 1—milder than the 3.3 million expected—coupled with OPEC+ extensions of voluntary cuts, support near-term firmness amid summer driving season demand. EIA forecasts a 2Q26 Brent peak at $115 before easing, while upcoming catalysts include weekly EIA reports, the June 7 OPEC+ review, and lingering geopolitical risks that could swing market-implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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