Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices into end-June 2026. Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day have tightened balances, supporting an EIA-projected 8.5 million barrel-per-day global inventory draw in Q2 that has kept benchmarks near $90–$106 amid elevated risk premiums. Current WTI futures trade around $90 per barrel as of late May, reflecting partial normalization expectations if shipping traffic resumes in June and shut-in output gradually returns. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA inventory reports, refinery utilization rates, and the June 7 OPEC+ ministerial meeting for signals on production adjustments or diplomatic progress that could influence the market-implied path through quarter-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertRohöl (CL) über ___ Ende Juni?
Rohöl (CL) über ___ Ende Juni?
$126,144 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
90 $
44%
85 $
54%
80 $
73%
75 $
88%
70 $
89%
65 $
92%
63 $
95%
60 $
93%
56 $
98%
55 $
95%
$52
98%
50 $
97%
$126,144 Vol.
90 $
$25,838 Vol.
44%
85 $
$5,727 Vol.
54%
80 $
$5,907 Vol.
73%
75 $
$16,668 Vol.
88%
70 $
$19,604 Vol.
89%
65 $
$872 Vol.
92%
63 $
$8,961 Vol.
95%
60 $
$21,068 Vol.
93%
56 $
$4,950 Vol.
98%
55 $
$2,914 Vol.
95%
$52
$6,024 Vol.
98%
50 $
$7,610 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices into end-June 2026. Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day have tightened balances, supporting an EIA-projected 8.5 million barrel-per-day global inventory draw in Q2 that has kept benchmarks near $90–$106 amid elevated risk premiums. Current WTI futures trade around $90 per barrel as of late May, reflecting partial normalization expectations if shipping traffic resumes in June and shut-in output gradually returns. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA inventory reports, refinery utilization rates, and the June 7 OPEC+ ministerial meeting for signals on production adjustments or diplomatic progress that could influence the market-implied path through quarter-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volumen
$126,144Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices into end-June 2026. Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day have tightened balances, supporting an EIA-projected 8.5 million barrel-per-day global inventory draw in Q2 that has kept benchmarks near $90–$106 amid elevated risk premiums. Current WTI futures trade around $90 per barrel as of late May, reflecting partial normalization expectations if shipping traffic resumes in June and shut-in output gradually returns. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA inventory reports, refinery utilization rates, and the June 7 OPEC+ ministerial meeting for signals on production adjustments or diplomatic progress that could influence the market-implied path through quarter-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volumen
$126,144Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices into end-June 2026. Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day have tightened balances, supporting an EIA-projected 8.5 million barrel-per-day global inventory draw in Q2 that has kept benchmarks near $90–$106 amid elevated risk premiums. Current WTI futures trade around $90 per barrel as of late May, reflecting partial normalization expectations if shipping traffic resumes in June and shut-in output gradually returns. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA inventory reports, refinery utilization rates, and the June 7 OPEC+ ministerial meeting for signals on production adjustments or diplomatic progress that could influence the market-implied path through quarter-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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