Traders on Polymarket price a 57.5% implied probability for June WTI crude oil (CL) futures settling above $84, reflecting bullish sentiment fueled by the latest EIA weekly petroleum status report showing a 4.2 million barrel crude draw—far exceeding expectations—and ongoing OPEC+ compliance with 2.2 million bpd voluntary production cuts extended through September. Prices have climbed nearly 5% in the past week to around $78 per barrel amid tighter supply signals, renewed Middle East tensions, and China's stimulus boosting demand outlooks. The $77-$84 range at 12% captures moderate upside risks, while lower bins reflect recession fears tied to persistent inflation and Fed funds rate stability. Watch the June 2 OPEC+ monitoring meeting and June 5 EIA data for potential volatility ahead of settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWorauf wird sich Rohöl (CL) im Juni einstellen?
Worauf wird sich Rohöl (CL) im Juni einstellen?
>$84 59%
$77-$84 12%
70–77 $ 9.9%
$63-$70 9%
$84,553 Vol.
$84,553 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
< $42
1%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
7%
$56-$63
7%
$63-$70
9%
70–77 $
10%
$77-$84
12%
>$84
59%
>$84 59%
$77-$84 12%
70–77 $ 9.9%
$63-$70 9%
$84,553 Vol.
$84,553 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
< $42
$3,457 Vol.
1%
$42-$49
$2,772 Vol.
1%
$49-$56
$4,146 Vol.
7%
$56-$63
$3,307 Vol.
7%
$63-$70
$15,860 Vol.
9%
70–77 $
$4,296 Vol.
10%
$77-$84
$7,075 Vol.
12%
>$84
$43,640 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Traders on Polymarket price a 57.5% implied probability for June WTI crude oil (CL) futures settling above $84, reflecting bullish sentiment fueled by the latest EIA weekly petroleum status report showing a 4.2 million barrel crude draw—far exceeding expectations—and ongoing OPEC+ compliance with 2.2 million bpd voluntary production cuts extended through September. Prices have climbed nearly 5% in the past week to around $78 per barrel amid tighter supply signals, renewed Middle East tensions, and China's stimulus boosting demand outlooks. The $77-$84 range at 12% captures moderate upside risks, while lower bins reflect recession fears tied to persistent inflation and Fed funds rate stability. Watch the June 2 OPEC+ monitoring meeting and June 5 EIA data for potential volatility ahead of settlement.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Volumen
$84,553Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Traders on Polymarket price a 57.5% implied probability for June WTI crude oil (CL) futures settling above $84, reflecting bullish sentiment fueled by the latest EIA weekly petroleum status report showing a 4.2 million barrel crude draw—far exceeding expectations—and ongoing OPEC+ compliance with 2.2 million bpd voluntary production cuts extended through September. Prices have climbed nearly 5% in the past week to around $78 per barrel amid tighter supply signals, renewed Middle East tensions, and China's stimulus boosting demand outlooks. The $77-$84 range at 12% captures moderate upside risks, while lower bins reflect recession fears tied to persistent inflation and Fed funds rate stability. Watch the June 2 OPEC+ monitoring meeting and June 5 EIA data for potential volatility ahead of settlement.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volumen
$84,553Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders on Polymarket price a 57.5% implied probability for June WTI crude oil (CL) futures settling above $84, reflecting bullish sentiment fueled by the latest EIA weekly petroleum status report showing a 4.2 million barrel crude draw—far exceeding expectations—and ongoing OPEC+ compliance with 2.2 million bpd voluntary production cuts extended through September. Prices have climbed nearly 5% in the past week to around $78 per barrel amid tighter supply signals, renewed Middle East tensions, and China's stimulus boosting demand outlooks. The $77-$84 range at 12% captures moderate upside risks, while lower bins reflect recession fears tied to persistent inflation and Fed funds rate stability. Watch the June 2 OPEC+ monitoring meeting and June 5 EIA data for potential volatility ahead of settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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