WTI crude oil futures have plunged over 7% to around $96 per barrel as of May 7, 2026, extending a retreat from recent 2026 highs above $110, driven by trader optimism over potential de-escalation in the Strait of Hormuz amid U.S.-Iran tensions that disrupted 15% of global supply since mid-April. U.S. EIA data showed a 2.3 million barrel inventory draw for the week ended May 1, tightening near-term balances despite OPEC+'s symbolic June production boost. Market-implied odds reflect a geopolitical risk premium, with prices sensitive to diplomatic breakthroughs or renewed conflict; key catalysts include weekly EIA reports through June, prospective OPEC+ meetings, and Hormuz shipping updates, as global demand from China weighs on the outlook toward month-end resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird Rohöl (CL) bis Ende Juni __ erreichen?
Wird Rohöl (CL) bis Ende Juni __ erreichen?
$14,561,932 Vol.
↑ $200
4%
↑ $175
5%
↑ $150
12%
↑ $140
14%
↑ $130
28%
↑ $120
38%
↑ $115
48%
↓ $80
62%
↓ $70
21%
↓ $60
7%
↓ $55
4%
↓ 52 $
3%
↓ $50
3%
↓ $47
2%
↓ $45
2%
↓ 40 $
2%
↓ $35
1%
$14,561,932 Vol.
↑ $200
4%
↑ $175
5%
↑ $150
12%
↑ $140
14%
↑ $130
28%
↑ $120
38%
↑ $115
48%
↓ $80
62%
↓ $70
21%
↓ $60
7%
↓ $55
4%
↓ 52 $
3%
↓ $50
3%
↓ $47
2%
↓ $45
2%
↓ 40 $
2%
↓ $35
1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil futures have plunged over 7% to around $96 per barrel as of May 7, 2026, extending a retreat from recent 2026 highs above $110, driven by trader optimism over potential de-escalation in the Strait of Hormuz amid U.S.-Iran tensions that disrupted 15% of global supply since mid-April. U.S. EIA data showed a 2.3 million barrel inventory draw for the week ended May 1, tightening near-term balances despite OPEC+'s symbolic June production boost. Market-implied odds reflect a geopolitical risk premium, with prices sensitive to diplomatic breakthroughs or renewed conflict; key catalysts include weekly EIA reports through June, prospective OPEC+ meetings, and Hormuz shipping updates, as global demand from China weighs on the outlook toward month-end resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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