Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz continue to dominate crude oil (CL) market dynamics heading into June 2026. Production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day across the Middle East have tightened global balances, driving significant inventory draws projected by the EIA at an average of 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter and supporting WTI prices near $90–$100 per barrel as of late May. Recent diplomatic progress toward a potential peace deal triggered sharp price declines, with Brent falling over 6 percent to around $93 and WTI to near $90, highlighting the sensitivity of risk premiums to negotiation updates. Traders are closely monitoring weekly EIA inventory releases, refinery utilization rates, and any shifts in shipping flows for signals on whether supply constraints will ease or persist through the end of June.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird Rohöl (CL) bis Ende Juni __ erreichen?
$19,530,261 Vol.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
2%
↑ $150
5%
↑ $140
8%
↑ $130
9%
↑ $120
17%
↑ $115
20%
↑ $110
27%
↑ $105
40%
↓ $90
95%
↓ $85
70%
↓ $80
62%
↓ $70
20%
↓ $60
7%
↓ $55
3%
↓ 52 $
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ 40 $
1%
↓ $35
<1%
$19,530,261 Vol.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
2%
↑ $150
5%
↑ $140
8%
↑ $130
9%
↑ $120
17%
↑ $115
20%
↑ $110
27%
↑ $105
40%
↓ $90
95%
↓ $85
70%
↓ $80
62%
↓ $70
20%
↓ $60
7%
↓ $55
3%
↓ 52 $
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ 40 $
1%
↓ $35
<1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz continue to dominate crude oil (CL) market dynamics heading into June 2026. Production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day across the Middle East have tightened global balances, driving significant inventory draws projected by the EIA at an average of 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter and supporting WTI prices near $90–$100 per barrel as of late May. Recent diplomatic progress toward a potential peace deal triggered sharp price declines, with Brent falling over 6 percent to around $93 and WTI to near $90, highlighting the sensitivity of risk premiums to negotiation updates. Traders are closely monitoring weekly EIA inventory releases, refinery utilization rates, and any shifts in shipping flows for signals on whether supply constraints will ease or persist through the end of June.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen