Geopolitical tensions tied to the US-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz remain the dominant driver of WTI crude prices, which have traded near $90–$100 per barrel in late May 2026 after spiking above $118 earlier in the year. Recent progress toward a ceasefire and potential reopening of the waterway has triggered sharp selloffs, with July futures declining roughly 6% in a single session amid optimism for restored supply flows. Elevated Middle East production shut-ins of over 10 million barrels per day have tightened global inventories, supporting a risk premium, though softening demand forecasts from OPEC and the EIA point to building surpluses later in the quarter. Traders are watching FOMC signals on monetary policy, weekly inventory data, and any finalization of peace terms for clues on whether prices sustain above key thresholds into June or ease further as shipping normalizes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird Rohöl (CL) bis Ende Juni __ erreichen?
$19,553,453 Vol.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
2%
↑ $150
5%
↑ $140
8%
↑ $130
9%
↑ $120
17%
↑ $115
21%
↑ $110
28%
↑ $105
40%
↓ $90
92%
↓ $85
69%
↓ $80
56%
↓ $70
17%
↓ $60
7%
↓ $55
4%
↓ 52 $
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ 40 $
1%
↓ $35
<1%
$19,553,453 Vol.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
2%
↑ $150
5%
↑ $140
8%
↑ $130
9%
↑ $120
17%
↑ $115
21%
↑ $110
28%
↑ $105
40%
↓ $90
92%
↓ $85
69%
↓ $80
56%
↓ $70
17%
↓ $60
7%
↓ $55
4%
↓ 52 $
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ 40 $
1%
↓ $35
<1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions tied to the US-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz remain the dominant driver of WTI crude prices, which have traded near $90–$100 per barrel in late May 2026 after spiking above $118 earlier in the year. Recent progress toward a ceasefire and potential reopening of the waterway has triggered sharp selloffs, with July futures declining roughly 6% in a single session amid optimism for restored supply flows. Elevated Middle East production shut-ins of over 10 million barrels per day have tightened global inventories, supporting a risk premium, though softening demand forecasts from OPEC and the EIA point to building surpluses later in the quarter. Traders are watching FOMC signals on monetary policy, weekly inventory data, and any finalization of peace terms for clues on whether prices sustain above key thresholds into June or ease further as shipping normalizes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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