Trader consensus prices an 82% implied probability on no Trump-Putin summit by June 30, reflecting the absence of announced in-person meeting plans amid ongoing Ukraine negotiations and Middle East tensions. Recent phone calls between the leaders on March 9-10 discussed Iran conflict de-escalation and Ukraine prospects without scheduling a venue, while U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff's Moscow visits earlier this month advanced indirect diplomacy on peace deals. Easing Russian oil sanctions weighs heavily, but stalled territorial concessions and prior collapsed summits like Budapest in 2025 signal barriers to a near-term bilateral summit, with no diplomatic breakthroughs in the past 30 days to shift odds toward specific locations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertKein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni 81.5%
Anderes EU-Land 5.3%
Vereinigte Staaten 2.4%
Golfstaat 2.1%
$4,554,279 Vol.
$4,554,279 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Kein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni
81%
Anderes EU-Land
5%
Vereinigte Staaten
2%
Golfstaat
2%
Russland
2%
Türkei
2%
China
2%
Andere
2%
Belarus
1%
Finnland
<1%
Japan
<1%
Schweiz
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Australien
<1%
Südkorea
<1%
Kein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni 81.5%
Anderes EU-Land 5.3%
Vereinigte Staaten 2.4%
Golfstaat 2.1%
$4,554,279 Vol.
$4,554,279 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Kein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni
$761,229 Vol.
81%
Anderes EU-Land
$900,216 Vol.
5%
Vereinigte Staaten
$178,798 Vol.
2%
Golfstaat
$247,866 Vol.
2%
Russland
$616,035 Vol.
2%
Türkei
$333,949 Vol.
2%
China
$264,410 Vol.
2%
Andere
$383,646 Vol.
2%
Belarus
$243,568 Vol.
1%
Finnland
$65,772 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$105,975 Vol.
<1%
Schweiz
$132,228 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$127,424 Vol.
<1%
Australien
$79,963 Vol.
<1%
Südkorea
$114,255 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices an 82% implied probability on no Trump-Putin summit by June 30, reflecting the absence of announced in-person meeting plans amid ongoing Ukraine negotiations and Middle East tensions. Recent phone calls between the leaders on March 9-10 discussed Iran conflict de-escalation and Ukraine prospects without scheduling a venue, while U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff's Moscow visits earlier this month advanced indirect diplomacy on peace deals. Easing Russian oil sanctions weighs heavily, but stalled territorial concessions and prior collapsed summits like Budapest in 2025 signal barriers to a near-term bilateral summit, with no diplomatic breakthroughs in the past 30 days to shift odds toward specific locations.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Volumen
$4,554,279Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices an 82% implied probability on no Trump-Putin summit by June 30, reflecting the absence of announced in-person meeting plans amid ongoing Ukraine negotiations and Middle East tensions. Recent phone calls between the leaders on March 9-10 discussed Iran conflict de-escalation and Ukraine prospects without scheduling a venue, while U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff's Moscow visits earlier this month advanced indirect diplomacy on peace deals. Easing Russian oil sanctions weighs heavily, but stalled territorial concessions and prior collapsed summits like Budapest in 2025 signal barriers to a near-term bilateral summit, with no diplomatic breakthroughs in the past 30 days to shift odds toward specific locations.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$4,554,279Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices an 82% implied probability on no Trump-Putin summit by June 30, reflecting the absence of announced in-person meeting plans amid ongoing Ukraine negotiations and Middle East tensions. Recent phone calls between the leaders on March 9-10 discussed Iran conflict de-escalation and Ukraine prospects without scheduling a venue, while U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff's Moscow visits earlier this month advanced indirect diplomacy on peace deals. Easing Russian oil sanctions weighs heavily, but stalled territorial concessions and prior collapsed summits like Budapest in 2025 signal barriers to a near-term bilateral summit, with no diplomatic breakthroughs in the past 30 days to shift odds toward specific locations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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