Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (85%), reflecting the absence of any announced plans or venue discussions amid ongoing Ukraine peace negotiations conducted via envoys and phone calls. President Trump's March 9 call with Putin addressed Ukraine and Iran conflicts but yielded no summit commitment, while his envoy Steve Witkoff heads to Moscow this week for talks—proxy diplomacy rather than a personal summit. Russia's March 26 statement expressing hope for new U.S. rounds underscores continued contacts without specifics. Past 2025 summit proposals in Budapest and elsewhere collapsed due to unresolved war issues, reinforcing skepticism. Neutral sites like Turkey or Gulf states draw slim odds from historical hosting precedents, but geopolitical tensions, including U.S. sanctions and Iran's Strait of Hormuz crisis, diminish near-term feasibility.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertKein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni 85.3%
Anderes EU-Land 2.8%
Türkei 2.7%
Golfstaat 1.8%
$4,592,821 Vol.
$4,592,821 Vol.

Kein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni
85%

Anderes EU-Land
3%

Türkei
3%

Golfstaat
2%

Vereinigte Staaten
2%

Russland
2%

Andere
1%

China
1%

Schweiz
1%

Belarus
1%

Japan
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Australien
<1%

Finnland
<1%

Südkorea
<1%
Kein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni 85.3%
Anderes EU-Land 2.8%
Türkei 2.7%
Golfstaat 1.8%
$4,592,821 Vol.
$4,592,821 Vol.

Kein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni
85%

Anderes EU-Land
3%

Türkei
3%

Golfstaat
2%

Vereinigte Staaten
2%

Russland
2%

Andere
1%

China
1%

Schweiz
1%

Belarus
1%

Japan
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Australien
<1%

Finnland
<1%

Südkorea
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (85%), reflecting the absence of any announced plans or venue discussions amid ongoing Ukraine peace negotiations conducted via envoys and phone calls. President Trump's March 9 call with Putin addressed Ukraine and Iran conflicts but yielded no summit commitment, while his envoy Steve Witkoff heads to Moscow this week for talks—proxy diplomacy rather than a personal summit. Russia's March 26 statement expressing hope for new U.S. rounds underscores continued contacts without specifics. Past 2025 summit proposals in Budapest and elsewhere collapsed due to unresolved war issues, reinforcing skepticism. Neutral sites like Turkey or Gulf states draw slim odds from historical hosting precedents, but geopolitical tensions, including U.S. sanctions and Iran's Strait of Hormuz crisis, diminish near-term feasibility.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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