Since Nicolás Maduro's capture by US forces in early January 2026, Delcy Rodríguez has served as Venezuela's interim president, sworn in days later and consolidating authority through sweeping cabinet and military reshuffles, including ousting Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López on March 18 for intelligence chief Gustavo González López. These moves, amid US sanctions relief, oil deals, and diplomatic restoration efforts, underpin trader consensus at 65.5% for her leadership persisting to year-end, reflecting her technocratic stability and Chavista continuity over opposition challengers. Maduro trails at 16.3% amid his ongoing US detention uncertainties, while María Corina Machado's 11.5% odds highlight persistent regime barriers despite calls for democratic transition.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertVenezuelas Regierungschef Ende 2026?
Venezuelas Regierungschef Ende 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez 66%
Nicolás Maduro 16.4%
María Corina Machado 12%
Edmundo González 1.1%
$77,969,015 Vol.
$77,969,015 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
66%
Nicolás Maduro
16%
María Corina Machado
12%
Edmundo González
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
1%
Donald Trump
1%
Vladimir Padrino López
1%
Kein Staatschef
1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 66%
Nicolás Maduro 16.4%
María Corina Machado 12%
Edmundo González 1.1%
$77,969,015 Vol.
$77,969,015 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
$1,251,082 Vol.
66%
Nicolás Maduro
$878,919 Vol.
16%
María Corina Machado
$838,238 Vol.
12%
Edmundo González
$420,070 Vol.
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$1,245,830 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$686,636 Vol.
1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$447,996 Vol.
1%
Kein Staatschef
$739,322 Vol.
1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$863,221 Vol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$651,977 Vol.
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,057,970 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$24,625,970 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$8,143,364 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$2,746,216 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$1,966,094 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$30,406,109 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Since Nicolás Maduro's capture by US forces in early January 2026, Delcy Rodríguez has served as Venezuela's interim president, sworn in days later and consolidating authority through sweeping cabinet and military reshuffles, including ousting Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López on March 18 for intelligence chief Gustavo González López. These moves, amid US sanctions relief, oil deals, and diplomatic restoration efforts, underpin trader consensus at 65.5% for her leadership persisting to year-end, reflecting her technocratic stability and Chavista continuity over opposition challengers. Maduro trails at 16.3% amid his ongoing US detention uncertainties, while María Corina Machado's 11.5% odds highlight persistent regime barriers despite calls for democratic transition.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volumen
$77,969,015Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Since Nicolás Maduro's capture by US forces in early January 2026, Delcy Rodríguez has served as Venezuela's interim president, sworn in days later and consolidating authority through sweeping cabinet and military reshuffles, including ousting Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López on March 18 for intelligence chief Gustavo González López. These moves, amid US sanctions relief, oil deals, and diplomatic restoration efforts, underpin trader consensus at 65.5% for her leadership persisting to year-end, reflecting her technocratic stability and Chavista continuity over opposition challengers. Maduro trails at 16.3% amid his ongoing US detention uncertainties, while María Corina Machado's 11.5% odds highlight persistent regime barriers despite calls for democratic transition.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Volumen
$77,969,015Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Since Nicolás Maduro's capture by US forces in early January 2026, Delcy Rodríguez has served as Venezuela's interim president, sworn in days later and consolidating authority through sweeping cabinet and military reshuffles, including ousting Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López on March 18 for intelligence chief Gustavo González López. These moves, amid US sanctions relief, oil deals, and diplomatic restoration efforts, underpin trader consensus at 65.5% for her leadership persisting to year-end, reflecting her technocratic stability and Chavista continuity over opposition challengers. Maduro trails at 16.3% amid his ongoing US detention uncertainties, while María Corina Machado's 11.5% odds highlight persistent regime barriers despite calls for democratic transition.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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