Since early March 2026, when Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader after his father Ali's death in US/Israeli airstrikes, he has made no verified public appearance, with state media issuing only written messages, archival footage, and suspected AI-enhanced images on his behalf. This prolonged absence amid escalating Iran-Israel-US conflict has shaped trader consensus, pricing Yes at 24% by April 30 and 36% by May 31, reflecting doubts over his health, security, or effective control. Russia's ambassador confirmed March 31 he remains in Tehran but refrains from public view for "obvious reasons," while domestic rallies pledge loyalty without his presence. No speeches, videos, or photos announced; resolution hinges on authentic new media by deadlines.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertMojtaba Khamenei öffentlicher Auftritt von...?
Mojtaba Khamenei öffentlicher Auftritt von...?
$754,423 Vol.
31. März
<1%
April 30
23%
31. Mai
41%
$754,423 Vol.
31. März
<1%
April 30
23%
31. Mai
41%
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Since early March 2026, when Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader after his father Ali's death in US/Israeli airstrikes, he has made no verified public appearance, with state media issuing only written messages, archival footage, and suspected AI-enhanced images on his behalf. This prolonged absence amid escalating Iran-Israel-US conflict has shaped trader consensus, pricing Yes at 24% by April 30 and 36% by May 31, reflecting doubts over his health, security, or effective control. Russia's ambassador confirmed March 31 he remains in Tehran but refrains from public view for "obvious reasons," while domestic rallies pledge loyalty without his presence. No speeches, videos, or photos announced; resolution hinges on authentic new media by deadlines.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen