United Russia's entrenched position as President Putin's ruling party drives trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability for securing the most seats in Russia's 2026 State Duma election, bolstered by consistent leads in official polls like VCIOM's late August survey showing 39% support versus 11% for KPRF and 9% for LDPR. New People's 21.5% pricing reflects modest recent polling gains to 4-7% amid its appeal to urban voters and positioning as systemic opposition, though far behind in proportional representation and single-mandate district projections. No major developments in the past 30 days, such as candidate nominations or regional vote shifts, have altered this; traders anticipate continuity in the managed electoral system ahead of the September 2026 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWelche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?
Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?
Einiges Russland (ER) 70%
Neue Leute (NL) 21.4%
Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR) 5.8%
Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF) 1.3%
$4,392,328 Vol.
$4,392,328 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Einiges Russland (ER)
70%
Neue Leute (NL)
21%
Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR)
6%
Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF)
1%
Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP)
1%
Rodina
<1%
Bürgerplattform (GP)
<1%
Einiges Russland (ER) 70%
Neue Leute (NL) 21.4%
Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR) 5.8%
Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF) 1.3%
$4,392,328 Vol.
$4,392,328 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Einiges Russland (ER)
$1,215,413 Vol.
70%
Neue Leute (NL)
$276,588 Vol.
21%
Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR)
$2,034,076 Vol.
6%
Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF)
$254,584 Vol.
1%
Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP)
$226,391 Vol.
1%
Rodina
$195,912 Vol.
<1%
Bürgerplattform (GP)
$189,363 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia's entrenched position as President Putin's ruling party drives trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability for securing the most seats in Russia's 2026 State Duma election, bolstered by consistent leads in official polls like VCIOM's late August survey showing 39% support versus 11% for KPRF and 9% for LDPR. New People's 21.5% pricing reflects modest recent polling gains to 4-7% amid its appeal to urban voters and positioning as systemic opposition, though far behind in proportional representation and single-mandate district projections. No major developments in the past 30 days, such as candidate nominations or regional vote shifts, have altered this; traders anticipate continuity in the managed electoral system ahead of the September 2026 vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volumen
$4,392,328Enddatum
Sep 20, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia's entrenched position as President Putin's ruling party drives trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability for securing the most seats in Russia's 2026 State Duma election, bolstered by consistent leads in official polls like VCIOM's late August survey showing 39% support versus 11% for KPRF and 9% for LDPR. New People's 21.5% pricing reflects modest recent polling gains to 4-7% amid its appeal to urban voters and positioning as systemic opposition, though far behind in proportional representation and single-mandate district projections. No major developments in the past 30 days, such as candidate nominations or regional vote shifts, have altered this; traders anticipate continuity in the managed electoral system ahead of the September 2026 vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$4,392,328Enddatum
Sep 20, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia's entrenched position as President Putin's ruling party drives trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability for securing the most seats in Russia's 2026 State Duma election, bolstered by consistent leads in official polls like VCIOM's late August survey showing 39% support versus 11% for KPRF and 9% for LDPR. New People's 21.5% pricing reflects modest recent polling gains to 4-7% amid its appeal to urban voters and positioning as systemic opposition, though far behind in proportional representation and single-mandate district projections. No major developments in the past 30 days, such as candidate nominations or regional vote shifts, have altered this; traders anticipate continuity in the managed electoral system ahead of the September 2026 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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