Trader consensus on Polymarket prices United Russia securing 340–354 seats (34%) just ahead of 355+ (32.5%) in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting mixed March polls showing party list support at 29–56% across FOM and WCIOM surveys amid economic pressures like rising food and utility prices that have eroded ratings in regions such as St. Petersburg. United Russia's internal targets of 55% on party lists and wins in 195 of 225 single-member districts face headwinds, with party leaders on March 23 acknowledging potential losses in up to 30 challenging regions including the "Red Belt" and Far East. Kremlin propaganda ramps up positive coverage of social initiatives, while primaries through May could solidify lists featuring war veterans; stabilizing inflation or effective mobilization might push toward 355+, but persistent discontent risks slippage below 340.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWie viele Sitze wird Einiges Russland bei den nächsten russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?
Wie viele Sitze wird Einiges Russland bei den nächsten russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?
340–354 34%
355+ 32%
325–339 16%
310–324 12.3%
<280
4%
280–294
3%
295–309
6%
310–324
12%
325–339
16%
340–354
34%
355+
32%
340–354 34%
355+ 32%
325–339 16%
310–324 12.3%
<280
4%
280–294
3%
295–309
6%
310–324
12%
325–339
16%
340–354
34%
355+
32%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices United Russia securing 340–354 seats (34%) just ahead of 355+ (32.5%) in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting mixed March polls showing party list support at 29–56% across FOM and WCIOM surveys amid economic pressures like rising food and utility prices that have eroded ratings in regions such as St. Petersburg. United Russia's internal targets of 55% on party lists and wins in 195 of 225 single-member districts face headwinds, with party leaders on March 23 acknowledging potential losses in up to 30 challenging regions including the "Red Belt" and Far East. Kremlin propaganda ramps up positive coverage of social initiatives, while primaries through May could solidify lists featuring war veterans; stabilizing inflation or effective mobilization might push toward 355+, but persistent discontent risks slippage below 340.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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