In Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, Péter Magyar's center-right TISZA party secured a commanding lead in popular vote share, with the National Election Office's final tally on April 18 confirming approximately 53.6%—firmly within the 50-54% range that trader consensus prices at 100%. Record turnout near 80% and consistent pre-election polls averaging 50-53% for TISZA amid anti-incumbent sentiment against Viktor Orbán's Fidesz fueled this outcome, projecting TISZA a two-thirds supermajority of 141 seats in the 199-seat National Assembly. Orbán's election-night concession solidified the result. Realistic challenges, such as recounts or legal disputes over overseas ballots, appear negligible given the wide margin and institutional validation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert50-54 % 100.0%
Weniger als 42 % <1%
42-46% <1%
46–50 % <1%
$621,357 Vol.
$621,357 Vol.
12. Apr. 2026
Weniger als 42 %
Nein
42-46%
Nein
46–50 %
Nein
50-54 %
Ja
54 %+
Nein
50-54 % 100.0%
Weniger als 42 % <1%
42-46% <1%
46–50 % <1%
$621,357 Vol.
$621,357 Vol.
12. Apr. 2026
Weniger als 42 %
$36,029 Vol.
Nein
42-46%
$21,294 Vol.
Nein
46–50 %
$28,774 Vol.
Nein
50-54 %
$99,704 Vol.
Ja
54 %+
$435,556 Vol.
Nein
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.In Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, Péter Magyar's center-right TISZA party secured a commanding lead in popular vote share, with the National Election Office's final tally on April 18 confirming approximately 53.6%—firmly within the 50-54% range that trader consensus prices at 100%. Record turnout near 80% and consistent pre-election polls averaging 50-53% for TISZA amid anti-incumbent sentiment against Viktor Orbán's Fidesz fueled this outcome, projecting TISZA a two-thirds supermajority of 141 seats in the 199-seat National Assembly. Orbán's election-night concession solidified the result. Realistic challenges, such as recounts or legal disputes over overseas ballots, appear negligible given the wide margin and institutional validation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Volumen
$621,357Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.In Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, Péter Magyar's center-right TISZA party secured a commanding lead in popular vote share, with the National Election Office's final tally on April 18 confirming approximately 53.6%—firmly within the 50-54% range that trader consensus prices at 100%. Record turnout near 80% and consistent pre-election polls averaging 50-53% for TISZA amid anti-incumbent sentiment against Viktor Orbán's Fidesz fueled this outcome, projecting TISZA a two-thirds supermajority of 141 seats in the 199-seat National Assembly. Orbán's election-night concession solidified the result. Realistic challenges, such as recounts or legal disputes over overseas ballots, appear negligible given the wide margin and institutional validation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Volumen
$621,357Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
In Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, Péter Magyar's center-right TISZA party secured a commanding lead in popular vote share, with the National Election Office's final tally on April 18 confirming approximately 53.6%—firmly within the 50-54% range that trader consensus prices at 100%. Record turnout near 80% and consistent pre-election polls averaging 50-53% for TISZA amid anti-incumbent sentiment against Viktor Orbán's Fidesz fueled this outcome, projecting TISZA a two-thirds supermajority of 141 seats in the 199-seat National Assembly. Orbán's election-night concession solidified the result. Realistic challenges, such as recounts or legal disputes over overseas ballots, appear negligible given the wide margin and institutional validation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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