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Wahlen·Primär

Illinois Demokratischer Senat Primärgewinnspanne

Market icon
Wahlen·Primär

Illinois Demokratischer Senat Primärgewinnspanne

Stratton 6–9% 98.1%

Stratton 9%+ 3.9%

Stratton 3–6 % 1.8%

Krishnamoorthi 9%+ 1.0%

Polymarket

$23,607 Vol.

Stratton 6–9% 98.1%

Stratton 9%+ 3.9%

Stratton 3–6 % 1.8%

Krishnamoorthi 9%+ 1.0%

Polymarket

$23,607 Vol.

Krishnamoorthi 9%+

$3,787 Vol.

1%

Krishnamoorthi 6–9 %

$0 Vol.

<1%

Krishnamoorthi 3–6 %

$1,872 Vol.

<1%

Krishnamoorthi <3%

$0 Vol.

<1%

Stratton <3%

$3,360 Vol.

<1%

Stratton 3–6 %

$5,109 Vol.

2%

Stratton 6–9%

$5,255 Vol.

98%

Stratton 9%+

$2,241 Vol.

4%

Anderes

$1,984 Vol.

1%

The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket. If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.With over 94% of ballots counted from the March 17 Illinois Democratic U.S. Senate primary, Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton holds a commanding 7-point margin over Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi (40.2% to 33.1%, or roughly 85,000 votes), reflecting trader consensus on the 6–9% outcome as certified results solidify. Stratton's surge—defying pre-election polls where Krishnamoorthi led—stemmed from Gov. JB Pritzker's $10 million-plus infusion, robust Chicago turnout, and downstate gains that offset Krishnamoorthi's suburban fundraising edge and moderate appeal. Remaining provisionals or absentees could trim the lead slightly, but a shift beyond 1–2 points is improbable absent a recount challenge, given the race's clear projection for Stratton.

The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.

If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$23,607
Enddatum
17. März 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket. If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket. If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.With over 94% of ballots counted from the March 17 Illinois Democratic U.S. Senate primary, Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton holds a commanding 7-point margin over Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi (40.2% to 33.1%, or roughly 85,000 votes), reflecting trader consensus on the 6–9% outcome as certified results solidify. Stratton's surge—defying pre-election polls where Krishnamoorthi led—stemmed from Gov. JB Pritzker's $10 million-plus infusion, robust Chicago turnout, and downstate gains that offset Krishnamoorthi's suburban fundraising edge and moderate appeal. Remaining provisionals or absentees could trim the lead slightly, but a shift beyond 1–2 points is improbable absent a recount challenge, given the race's clear projection for Stratton.

The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.

If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$23,607
Enddatum
17. März 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket. If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Illinois Demokratischer Senat Primärgewinnspanne" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 9 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Stratton 6–9%" mit 98%, gefolgt von „Stratton 9%+" mit 4%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 98¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 98% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Illinois Demokratischer Senat Primärgewinnspanne" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $23.6K generiert, seit der Markt am Mar 17, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Illinois Demokratischer Senat Primärgewinnspanne" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 9 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Illinois Demokratischer Senat Primärgewinnspanne" ist „Stratton 6–9%" mit 98%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 98% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Stratton 9%+" mit 4%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Illinois Demokratischer Senat Primärgewinnspanne" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.