Trader consensus favors Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton at 63.5% to win the Republican Senate primary runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn on May 26, driven by post-primary polls like Impact Research showing Paxton ahead 53%-37% among likely voters. Paxton's near-upset in the March 3 primary despite being outspent over 20-to-1 has bolstered his appeal to the conservative base, amplified by CPAC's endorsement and a dominant 67%-21% straw poll win last week, where Cornyn was absent. Cornyn, leveraging establishment backing and recent healthcare endorsements, has attacked Paxton over an internal AG probe, but heavy ad spending has yet to close the gap. A potential Trump endorsement remains a key wildcard ahead of early voting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertKen Paxton 63%
John Cornyn 35%
Dawn Buckingham <1%
Beth Van Duyne <1%
$15,122,868 Vol.
$15,122,868 Vol.
26. Mai 2026
Ken Paxton
63%
John Cornyn
35%
Dawn Buckingham
<1%
Beth Van Duyne
<1%
Wesley Hunt
<1%
Ken Paxton 63%
John Cornyn 35%
Dawn Buckingham <1%
Beth Van Duyne <1%
$15,122,868 Vol.
$15,122,868 Vol.
26. Mai 2026
Ken Paxton
$4,121,752 Vol.
63%
John Cornyn
$3,042,778 Vol.
35%
Dawn Buckingham
$906,700 Vol.
<1%
Beth Van Duyne
$5,303,445 Vol.
<1%
Wesley Hunt
$1,748,193 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Trader consensus favors Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton at 63.5% to win the Republican Senate primary runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn on May 26, driven by post-primary polls like Impact Research showing Paxton ahead 53%-37% among likely voters. Paxton's near-upset in the March 3 primary despite being outspent over 20-to-1 has bolstered his appeal to the conservative base, amplified by CPAC's endorsement and a dominant 67%-21% straw poll win last week, where Cornyn was absent. Cornyn, leveraging establishment backing and recent healthcare endorsements, has attacked Paxton over an internal AG probe, but heavy ad spending has yet to close the gap. A potential Trump endorsement remains a key wildcard ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 10, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Volumen
$15,122,868Enddatum
26. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 10, 2025, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Trader consensus favors Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton at 63.5% to win the Republican Senate primary runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn on May 26, driven by post-primary polls like Impact Research showing Paxton ahead 53%-37% among likely voters. Paxton's near-upset in the March 3 primary despite being outspent over 20-to-1 has bolstered his appeal to the conservative base, amplified by CPAC's endorsement and a dominant 67%-21% straw poll win last week, where Cornyn was absent. Cornyn, leveraging establishment backing and recent healthcare endorsements, has attacked Paxton over an internal AG probe, but heavy ad spending has yet to close the gap. A potential Trump endorsement remains a key wildcard ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$15,122,868Enddatum
26. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 10, 2025, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton at 63.5% to win the Republican Senate primary runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn on May 26, driven by post-primary polls like Impact Research showing Paxton ahead 53%-37% among likely voters. Paxton's near-upset in the March 3 primary despite being outspent over 20-to-1 has bolstered his appeal to the conservative base, amplified by CPAC's endorsement and a dominant 67%-21% straw poll win last week, where Cornyn was absent. Cornyn, leveraging establishment backing and recent healthcare endorsements, has attacked Paxton over an internal AG probe, but heavy ad spending has yet to close the gap. A potential Trump endorsement remains a key wildcard ahead of early voting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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