Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors state Rep. Mayes Middleton at 73% implied probability to win the Texas Attorney General Republican primary runoff, with U.S. Rep. Chip Roy trailing at 40%, driven by Middleton's stronger polling averages among GOP primary voters and superior fundraising totals reported in recent filings. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving odds anchored to pre-runoff dynamics like endorsements from key Texas Republican figures such as Gov. Greg Abbott and Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick for Middleton, alongside his incumbency advantage in the district and appeal to conservative base on issues like border security and election integrity. The May 28 runoff date looms, with early voting turnout and last-minute attack ads as potential catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertMayes Middleton
74%
Chip Roy
42%
Mayes Middleton
74%
Chip Roy
42%
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors state Rep. Mayes Middleton at 73% implied probability to win the Texas Attorney General Republican primary runoff, with U.S. Rep. Chip Roy trailing at 40%, driven by Middleton's stronger polling averages among GOP primary voters and superior fundraising totals reported in recent filings. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving odds anchored to pre-runoff dynamics like endorsements from key Texas Republican figures such as Gov. Greg Abbott and Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick for Middleton, alongside his incumbency advantage in the district and appeal to conservative base on issues like border security and election integrity. The May 28 runoff date looms, with early voting turnout and last-minute attack ads as potential catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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