Trader consensus centers on 1.2–1.8 million voters in the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff on May 26, reflecting the March primary's roughly 2.2 million GOP ballots but tempered by historical runoff turnout drops of 50–70% due to voter fatigue. Recent polls, including April surveys showing Attorney General Ken Paxton leading or tied with incumbent Sen. John Cornyn by slim margins, have intensified get-out-the-vote operations from both sides, sustaining tight odds between the top bins amid uncertainty over MAGA enthusiasm versus establishment mobilization. A potential Trump endorsement, ongoing border policy debates, or early voting data starting May 18 could tip expectations higher or lower.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWahlbeteiligung im republikanischen Hauptabfluss des Senats von Texas
Wahlbeteiligung im republikanischen Hauptabfluss des Senats von Texas
1,2–1,5 Mio. 37.5%
0,6–0,9 Mio. 31%
0,9–1,2 Mio. 18%
<0,6 Mio. 14%
$41,624 Vol.
$41,624 Vol.
<0,6 Mio.
10%
0,6–0,9 Mio.
19%
0,9–1,2 Mio.
18%
1,2–1,5 Mio.
37%
1,5–1,8 Mio.
36%
1,8–2,1 Mio.
6%
2,1–2,4 Mio.
2%
2,4–2,7 Mio.
2%
2,7 Mio.+
2%
1,2–1,5 Mio. 37.5%
0,6–0,9 Mio. 31%
0,9–1,2 Mio. 18%
<0,6 Mio. 14%
$41,624 Vol.
$41,624 Vol.
<0,6 Mio.
10%
0,6–0,9 Mio.
19%
0,9–1,2 Mio.
18%
1,2–1,5 Mio.
37%
1,5–1,8 Mio.
36%
1,8–2,1 Mio.
6%
2,1–2,4 Mio.
2%
2,4–2,7 Mio.
2%
2,7 Mio.+
2%
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 1.2–1.8 million voters in the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff on May 26, reflecting the March primary's roughly 2.2 million GOP ballots but tempered by historical runoff turnout drops of 50–70% due to voter fatigue. Recent polls, including April surveys showing Attorney General Ken Paxton leading or tied with incumbent Sen. John Cornyn by slim margins, have intensified get-out-the-vote operations from both sides, sustaining tight odds between the top bins amid uncertainty over MAGA enthusiasm versus establishment mobilization. A potential Trump endorsement, ongoing border policy debates, or early voting data starting May 18 could tip expectations higher or lower.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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