James Talarico clinched the Democratic nomination for Texas' U.S. Senate race on March 3, 2026, defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the primary and positioning him as the general election challenger. On the Republican side, neither incumbent Sen. John Cornyn nor Attorney General Ken Paxton cleared 50%, forcing a May runoff after Rep. Wesley Hunt placed third. Recent polls show Paxton leading Cornyn in the runoff and outperforming him head-to-head against Talarico, fueling trader consensus at 63.5% for a Talarico-Paxton matchup and 33.5% for Talarico-Cornyn. GOP base turnout, potential endorsements like from former President Trump, and post-runoff unity remain key factors ahead of the November 3 ballot.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertTexas Senatswahl Matchup
Texas Senatswahl Matchup
Talarico & Paxton 64%
Talarico & Cornyn 34%
Andere <1%
Crockett & Paxton <1%
$647,074 Vol.
$647,074 Vol.
Talarico & Paxton
64%
Talarico & Cornyn
34%
Andere
1%
Crockett & Paxton
<1%
Crockett & Cornyn
<1%
Talarico & Hunt
<1%
Crockett & Hunt
<1%
Talarico & Paxton 64%
Talarico & Cornyn 34%
Andere <1%
Crockett & Paxton <1%
$647,074 Vol.
$647,074 Vol.
Talarico & Paxton
64%
Talarico & Cornyn
34%
Andere
1%
Crockett & Paxton
<1%
Crockett & Cornyn
<1%
Talarico & Hunt
<1%
Crockett & Hunt
<1%
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...James Talarico clinched the Democratic nomination for Texas' U.S. Senate race on March 3, 2026, defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the primary and positioning him as the general election challenger. On the Republican side, neither incumbent Sen. John Cornyn nor Attorney General Ken Paxton cleared 50%, forcing a May runoff after Rep. Wesley Hunt placed third. Recent polls show Paxton leading Cornyn in the runoff and outperforming him head-to-head against Talarico, fueling trader consensus at 63.5% for a Talarico-Paxton matchup and 33.5% for Talarico-Cornyn. GOP base turnout, potential endorsements like from former President Trump, and post-runoff unity remain key factors ahead of the November 3 ballot.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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