Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads trader consensus at 49% implied probability for the Republican presidential nomination, driven by his high popularity from MAHA reforms like slashing insulin costs 22%, revamping school lunches, and blocking toddler COVID shots, appealing to a broad base beyond traditional GOP voters. Vice President J.D. Vance follows at 39%, bolstered by incumbency advantages and presumed Trump endorsement as heir apparent. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 20% share reflects recent donor enthusiasm—nearly unanimous cheers over Vance in a March Trump-hosted meeting—and foreign policy visibility amid Iran tensions. With $540M+ volume, markets price early positioning ahead of 2028 primaries.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJ.D. Vance 39.0%
Marco Rubio 20.4%
Tucker Carlson 4.6%
Ron DeSantis 2.6%
$565,607,744 Vol.
$565,607,744 Vol.
7. Nov. 2028
4 % verdienen
J.D. Vance
39%
Marco Rubio
20%
Tucker Carlson
5%
Ron DeSantis
3%
Donald Trump Jr.
2%
Donald Trump
2%
Thomas Massie
2%
Glenn Youngkin
2%
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
Rand Paul
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%
Ivanka Trump
1%
Elon Musk
1%
Ted Cruz
1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%
Nikki Haley
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%
Brian Kemp
1%
Josh Hawley
1%
Matt Gaetz
1%
Eric Trump
1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%
Katie Britt
1%
Gruppeneintragstitel: Tom Brady
1%
Steve Bannon
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Byron Donalds
1%
Elise Stefanik
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
John Thune
1%
Kristi Noem
1%
Joe Kent
1%
Mike Pence
1%
J.D. Vance 39.0%
Marco Rubio 20.4%
Tucker Carlson 4.6%
Ron DeSantis 2.6%
$565,607,744 Vol.
$565,607,744 Vol.
7. Nov. 2028
4 % verdienen
J.D. Vance
$12,136,680 Vol.
39%
Marco Rubio
$8,024,565 Vol.
20%
Tucker Carlson
$10,299,400 Vol.
5%
Ron DeSantis
$12,541,953 Vol.
3%
Donald Trump Jr.
$6,723,241 Vol.
2%
Donald Trump
$7,202,242 Vol.
2%
Thomas Massie
$3,253,388 Vol.
2%
Glenn Youngkin
$6,363,017 Vol.
2%
Tulsi Gabbard
$11,306,491 Vol.
1%
Rand Paul
$17,065,883 Vol.
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
$13,698,431 Vol.
1%
Ivanka Trump
$6,265,023 Vol.
1%
Elon Musk
$26,728,599 Vol.
1%
Ted Cruz
$15,215,283 Vol.
1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$4,675,764 Vol.
1%
Nikki Haley
$8,161,720 Vol.
1%
Greg Abbott
$18,007,163 Vol.
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$12,616,259 Vol.
1%
Brian Kemp
$14,366,214 Vol.
1%
Josh Hawley
$17,727,686 Vol.
1%
Matt Gaetz
$16,723,565 Vol.
1%
Eric Trump
$5,371,195 Vol.
1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
$29,085,313 Vol.
1%
Katie Britt
$25,628,074 Vol.
1%
Gruppeneintragstitel: Tom Brady
$29,343,983 Vol.
1%
Steve Bannon
$18,947,934 Vol.
1%
Kim Kardashian
$25,398,806 Vol.
1%
Pete Hegseth
$3,856,404 Vol.
1%
Byron Donalds
$36,385,243 Vol.
1%
Elise Stefanik
$23,336,035 Vol.
1%
Erika Kirk
$14,336,377 Vol.
1%
John Thune
$31,116,138 Vol.
1%
Kristi Noem
$30,787,081 Vol.
1%
Joe Kent
$4,192,677 Vol.
1%
Mike Pence
$38,748,205 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads trader consensus at 49% implied probability for the Republican presidential nomination, driven by his high popularity from MAHA reforms like slashing insulin costs 22%, revamping school lunches, and blocking toddler COVID shots, appealing to a broad base beyond traditional GOP voters. Vice President J.D. Vance follows at 39%, bolstered by incumbency advantages and presumed Trump endorsement as heir apparent. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 20% share reflects recent donor enthusiasm—nearly unanimous cheers over Vance in a March Trump-hosted meeting—and foreign policy visibility amid Iran tensions. With $540M+ volume, markets price early positioning ahead of 2028 primaries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET
Volumen
$565,607,744Enddatum
7. Nov. 2028Markt eröffnet
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads trader consensus at 49% implied probability for the Republican presidential nomination, driven by his high popularity from MAHA reforms like slashing insulin costs 22%, revamping school lunches, and blocking toddler COVID shots, appealing to a broad base beyond traditional GOP voters. Vice President J.D. Vance follows at 39%, bolstered by incumbency advantages and presumed Trump endorsement as heir apparent. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 20% share reflects recent donor enthusiasm—nearly unanimous cheers over Vance in a March Trump-hosted meeting—and foreign policy visibility amid Iran tensions. With $540M+ volume, markets price early positioning ahead of 2028 primaries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$565,607,744Enddatum
7. Nov. 2028Markt eröffnet
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads trader consensus at 49% implied probability for the Republican presidential nomination, driven by his high popularity from MAHA reforms like slashing insulin costs 22%, revamping school lunches, and blocking toddler COVID shots, appealing to a broad base beyond traditional GOP voters. Vice President J.D. Vance follows at 39%, bolstered by incumbency advantages and presumed Trump endorsement as heir apparent. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 20% share reflects recent donor enthusiasm—nearly unanimous cheers over Vance in a March Trump-hosted meeting—and foreign policy visibility amid Iran tensions. With $540M+ volume, markets price early positioning ahead of 2028 primaries.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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