Question 1

What is Polymarket?

Accepted Answer

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Tarife.

Question 2

What types of Tarife prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

Accepted Answer

Polymarket currently hosts 8 active markets for Tarife that lets you track or trade on predictions like "Der Oberste Gerichtshof entscheidet zugunsten von Trumps Zöllen?". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Question 3

How do Tarife markets work on Polymarket?

Accepted Answer

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "Wird das Gericht Trump zwingen, die Tarife zurückzuerstatten?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "Wird der Oberste Gerichtshof bis zum... über Trumps Zölle entscheiden?," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

Question 4

What is the current top Tarife prediction?

Accepted Answer

As of today, the most active market is "Der Oberste Gerichtshof entscheidet zugunsten von Trumps Zöllen?," where the crowd is currently assigning a 73% chance to Nein. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

Question 5

Why use Polymarket for Tarife predictions?

Accepted Answer

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Tarife predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Question 6

How accurate are Polymarket's Tarife odds?

Accepted Answer

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket's accuracy.

Question 7

Can I track Tarife predictions without trading?

Accepted Answer

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Tarife shift in real-time. It's a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like "Wird der Oberste Gerichtshof bis zum... über Trumps Zölle entscheiden?" without ever needing to place a trade.

Question 8

How do I get started with Tarife markets on Polymarket?

Accepted Answer

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Tarife prediction markets, and when you're ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Question 9

How are markets resolved?

Accepted Answer

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the "Rules" section on any individual market page like "Der Oberste Gerichtshof entscheidet zugunsten von Trumps Zöllen?," to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

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