President Donald Trump proposed in mid-July 2026 that the United States would charge a 20% reimbursement fee on cargo transiting the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for naval protection, prompting immediate opposition from the International Maritime Organization on legal grounds. Within days, the administration reversed course, announcing instead that Gulf states would pursue expanded trade and investment agreements with the U.S. This shift, combined with existing international rules against mandatory tolls in international straits and an interim U.S.-Iran understanding limiting fees, has kept trader-assigned probabilities for U.S. implementation by late 2026 in the low single digits. No further executive actions or legislative steps have advanced the original fee structure since the pivot.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertUS erhebt Hormuz-Gebühren bis zum...?
US erhebt Hormuz-Gebühren bis zum...?
$962,463 Vol.
31. Aug. 2026
31. August
1%
31. Dezember
6%
$962,463 Vol.
31. August
$176,364 Vol.
1%
31. Dezember
$98,946 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump proposed in mid-July 2026 that the United States would charge a 20% reimbursement fee on cargo transiting the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for naval protection, prompting immediate opposition from the International Maritime Organization on legal grounds. Within days, the administration reversed course, announcing instead that Gulf states would pursue expanded trade and investment agreements with the U.S. This shift, combined with existing international rules against mandatory tolls in international straits and an interim U.S.-Iran understanding limiting fees, has kept trader-assigned probabilities for U.S. implementation by late 2026 in the low single digits. No further executive actions or legislative steps have advanced the original fee structure since the pivot.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Volumen
$962,463Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump proposed in mid-July 2026 that the United States would charge a 20% reimbursement fee on cargo transiting the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for naval protection, prompting immediate opposition from the International Maritime Organization on legal grounds. Within days, the administration reversed course, announcing instead that Gulf states would pursue expanded trade and investment agreements with the U.S. This shift, combined with existing international rules against mandatory tolls in international straits and an interim U.S.-Iran understanding limiting fees, has kept trader-assigned probabilities for U.S. implementation by late 2026 in the low single digits. No further executive actions or legislative steps have advanced the original fee structure since the pivot.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$962,463Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump proposed in mid-July 2026 that the United States would charge a 20% reimbursement fee on cargo transiting the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for naval protection, prompting immediate opposition from the International Maritime Organization on legal grounds. Within days, the administration reversed course, announcing instead that Gulf states would pursue expanded trade and investment agreements with the U.S. This shift, combined with existing international rules against mandatory tolls in international straits and an interim U.S.-Iran understanding limiting fees, has kept trader-assigned probabilities for U.S. implementation by late 2026 in the low single digits. No further executive actions or legislative steps have advanced the original fee structure since the pivot.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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