Trader consensus on Ayatollah Khamenei's X posting volume for the week of March 24-31, 2026, favors 20-39 posts at 42.5% implied probability, with under 20 close behind at 38%, reflecting historical patterns from @khamenei_ir averaging 20-30 weekly updates on official statements, policy positions, and regional developments. Recent months maintain steady output amid Iranian diplomatic maneuvers and domestic announcements, showing little variance from base rates. The bunched odds stem from uncertainty over post-Nowruz holiday lulls, potential escalations in Middle East tensions boosting messaging, or quiet periods favoring lower tallies; scheduled religious events or surprise addresses could drive separation toward 40+ ranges.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertKhamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
20-39 43%
60-79 38%
80-99 36%
40-59 35%
<20
38%
20-39
43%
40-59
35%
60-79
38%
80-99
36%
100-119
33%
120-139
34%
140-159
35%
160-179
35%
180-199
34%
200+
31%
20-39 43%
60-79 38%
80-99 36%
40-59 35%
<20
38%
20-39
43%
40-59
35%
60-79
38%
80-99
36%
100-119
33%
120-139
34%
140-159
35%
160-179
35%
180-199
34%
200+
31%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Ayatollah Khamenei's X posting volume for the week of March 24-31, 2026, favors 20-39 posts at 42.5% implied probability, with under 20 close behind at 38%, reflecting historical patterns from @khamenei_ir averaging 20-30 weekly updates on official statements, policy positions, and regional developments. Recent months maintain steady output amid Iranian diplomatic maneuvers and domestic announcements, showing little variance from base rates. The bunched odds stem from uncertainty over post-Nowruz holiday lulls, potential escalations in Middle East tensions boosting messaging, or quiet periods favoring lower tallies; scheduled religious events or surprise addresses could drive separation toward 40+ ranges.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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