Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a high volume of Donald Trump Truth Social posts for March 24-31, 2026, at 71% probability for 80+ in that week, led by 100-119 (27%) and 80-99 (24%), reflecting his historical average of 10-20 daily posts during campaigns and presidencies. Recent weeks show variability, with counts like 92 (March 18-25, 2024) and 115 (earlier periods), keeping odds tight across upper bands amid uncertainty over 2024 election outcomes—reelection could sustain or elevate activity akin to first-term Twitter use, while alternatives might adjust volume. Upcoming catalysts include election results and potential second-term priorities, which could sharpen separation if posting patterns solidify post-November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert100-119 27%
80-99 24%
120-139 20%
140-159 13%
$34,085 Vol.
$34,085 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
4%
80-99
24%
100-119
27%
120-139
20%
140-159
13%
160-179
6%
180-199
5%
200+
5%
100-119 27%
80-99 24%
120-139 20%
140-159 13%
$34,085 Vol.
$34,085 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
4%
80-99
24%
100-119
27%
120-139
20%
140-159
13%
160-179
6%
180-199
5%
200+
5%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a high volume of Donald Trump Truth Social posts for March 24-31, 2026, at 71% probability for 80+ in that week, led by 100-119 (27%) and 80-99 (24%), reflecting his historical average of 10-20 daily posts during campaigns and presidencies. Recent weeks show variability, with counts like 92 (March 18-25, 2024) and 115 (earlier periods), keeping odds tight across upper bands amid uncertainty over 2024 election outcomes—reelection could sustain or elevate activity akin to first-term Twitter use, while alternatives might adjust volume. Upcoming catalysts include election results and potential second-term priorities, which could sharpen separation if posting patterns solidify post-November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen