Trader consensus in the Georgia 11th District Republican primary reflects a fragmented field, with Rob Adkerson holding a slim edge at 45% implied probability amid tight clustering around 42-43.5% for Lisa Carlquist, John Hobbs, Chris Mora, and others, underscoring no dominant frontrunner despite the safe Republican seat historically held by Barry Loudermilk. Dynamics sustaining the deadlock include limited public polling, comparable fundraising across candidates, and split endorsements from local GOP figures, preventing vote consolidation. Separation could emerge from upcoming debate performances, fresh FEC reports revealing spending surges, or high-profile backing like from former President Trump, with early voting and the May primary date poised to sharpen trader assessments based on turnout signals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertGA-11 Republican Primary Winner
GA-11 Republican Primary Winner
Rob Adkerson 45%
Lisa Carlquist 44%
John Hobbs 44%
Chris Mora 44%
Rob Adkerson
45%
Lisa Carlquist
44%
John Hobbs
44%
Chris Mora
44%
Tricia Pridemore
43%
John Cowan
42%
William Brown
40%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
40%
Rob Adkerson 45%
Lisa Carlquist 44%
John Hobbs 44%
Chris Mora 44%
Rob Adkerson
45%
Lisa Carlquist
44%
John Hobbs
44%
Chris Mora
44%
Tricia Pridemore
43%
John Cowan
42%
William Brown
40%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
40%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Georgia 11th District Republican primary reflects a fragmented field, with Rob Adkerson holding a slim edge at 45% implied probability amid tight clustering around 42-43.5% for Lisa Carlquist, John Hobbs, Chris Mora, and others, underscoring no dominant frontrunner despite the safe Republican seat historically held by Barry Loudermilk. Dynamics sustaining the deadlock include limited public polling, comparable fundraising across candidates, and split endorsements from local GOP figures, preventing vote consolidation. Separation could emerge from upcoming debate performances, fresh FEC reports revealing spending surges, or high-profile backing like from former President Trump, with early voting and the May primary date poised to sharpen trader assessments based on turnout signals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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