Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat leads trader consensus at 70% implied probability to win the NY-13 Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by his fundraising dominance—top among New York incumbents—and strong support among the district's 34% Hispanic voters in this renter-heavy (85%), diverse Upper Manhattan-Bronx seat. Challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier, a DSA- and Justice Democrats-backed democratic socialist and pro-Palestine activist, holds 29% amid her internal April poll showing Espaillat's support softening to 35% after messaging on housing and foreign policy, plus recent progressive endorsements and DSA targeting. A May 3 report linking her donations to protest-linked ICE monitors may temper momentum, while other candidates trail far behind in this closed primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAdriano Espaillat 71%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 31%
Oscar Romero <1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%
$22,211 Vol.
$22,211 Vol.
Adriano Espaillat
71%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
31%
Oscar Romero
1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
Matt Miller
<1%
Adriano Espaillat 71%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 31%
Oscar Romero <1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%
$22,211 Vol.
$22,211 Vol.
Adriano Espaillat
71%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
31%
Oscar Romero
1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
Matt Miller
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat leads trader consensus at 70% implied probability to win the NY-13 Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by his fundraising dominance—top among New York incumbents—and strong support among the district's 34% Hispanic voters in this renter-heavy (85%), diverse Upper Manhattan-Bronx seat. Challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier, a DSA- and Justice Democrats-backed democratic socialist and pro-Palestine activist, holds 29% amid her internal April poll showing Espaillat's support softening to 35% after messaging on housing and foreign policy, plus recent progressive endorsements and DSA targeting. A May 3 report linking her donations to protest-linked ICE monitors may temper momentum, while other candidates trail far behind in this closed primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen