Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar commands 87% trader consensus in the MN-05 Democratic primary market, reflecting her track record of fending off well-funded challengers, including a 56%-44% victory over Don Samuels in 2024 amid heavy outside spending. The deep-blue district's progressive base, combined with Omar's strong grassroots organization, name recognition, and fundraising edge, solidifies her frontrunner status despite past close races. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a local DFL leader and former ICE attorney positioning as a centrist on immigration reform and local issues, holds 13% as traders weigh her appeal to moderates but see limited upset potential absent polls or major endorsements. With the CD5 DFL convention imminent, June 2 filing deadline, and August 11 primary ahead, any shifts hinge on convention outcomes or late-breaking developments like scandals or turnout dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMN-05 Demokratischer Hauptgewinner
MN-05 Demokratischer Hauptgewinner
$23,676 Vol.
$23,676 Vol.
11. Aug. 2026
Ilhan Omar
88%
Latonya Reeves
13%
$23,676 Vol.
$23,676 Vol.
11. Aug. 2026
Ilhan Omar
$19,617 Vol.
88%
Latonya Reeves
$4,059 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar commands 87% trader consensus in the MN-05 Democratic primary market, reflecting her track record of fending off well-funded challengers, including a 56%-44% victory over Don Samuels in 2024 amid heavy outside spending. The deep-blue district's progressive base, combined with Omar's strong grassroots organization, name recognition, and fundraising edge, solidifies her frontrunner status despite past close races. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a local DFL leader and former ICE attorney positioning as a centrist on immigration reform and local issues, holds 13% as traders weigh her appeal to moderates but see limited upset potential absent polls or major endorsements. With the CD5 DFL convention imminent, June 2 filing deadline, and August 11 primary ahead, any shifts hinge on convention outcomes or late-breaking developments like scandals or turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
Volumen
$23,676Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar commands 87% trader consensus in the MN-05 Democratic primary market, reflecting her track record of fending off well-funded challengers, including a 56%-44% victory over Don Samuels in 2024 amid heavy outside spending. The deep-blue district's progressive base, combined with Omar's strong grassroots organization, name recognition, and fundraising edge, solidifies her frontrunner status despite past close races. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a local DFL leader and former ICE attorney positioning as a centrist on immigration reform and local issues, holds 13% as traders weigh her appeal to moderates but see limited upset potential absent polls or major endorsements. With the CD5 DFL convention imminent, June 2 filing deadline, and August 11 primary ahead, any shifts hinge on convention outcomes or late-breaking developments like scandals or turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$23,676Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar commands 87% trader consensus in the MN-05 Democratic primary market, reflecting her track record of fending off well-funded challengers, including a 56%-44% victory over Don Samuels in 2024 amid heavy outside spending. The deep-blue district's progressive base, combined with Omar's strong grassroots organization, name recognition, and fundraising edge, solidifies her frontrunner status despite past close races. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a local DFL leader and former ICE attorney positioning as a centrist on immigration reform and local issues, holds 13% as traders weigh her appeal to moderates but see limited upset potential absent polls or major endorsements. With the CD5 DFL convention imminent, June 2 filing deadline, and August 11 primary ahead, any shifts hinge on convention outcomes or late-breaking developments like scandals or turnout dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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