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icon for South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner
Politik·Primär

South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner

icon for South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner
Politik·Primär

South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner

Darline Graham Nordone 100.0%

Duke Buckner <1%

Russell Fry <1%

Mark Lynch <1%

Polymarket

$628,043 Vol.

Darline Graham Nordone 100.0%

Duke Buckner <1%

Russell Fry <1%

Mark Lynch <1%

Polymarket

$628,043 Vol.

icon for Duke Buckner

Duke Buckner

$1,440 Vol.

No

icon for Russell Fry

Russell Fry

$34,780 Vol.

No

icon for Darline Graham Nordone

Darline Graham Nordone

$542,346 Vol.

Yes

icon for Mark Lynch

Mark Lynch

$453 Vol.

No

icon for Ralph Norman

Ralph Norman

$36,610 Vol.

No

icon for Mark Sanford

Mark Sanford

$10,552 Vol.

No

icon for Sheri Biggs

Sheri Biggs

$563 Vol.

No

icon for Pamela Evette

Pamela Evette

$425 Vol.

No

icon for Trey Gowdy

Trey Gowdy

$431 Vol.

No

icon for Henry McMaster

Henry McMaster

$442 Vol.

No

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. Darline Graham Nordone holds a dominant position in the South Carolina Republican primary for the special Senate seat due to her appointment by Governor Henry McMaster to finish her late brother Lindsey Graham’s term, combined with high name recognition and an endorsement from President Trump. These elements allowed her to top a ten-candidate field on August 11 with roughly 33 percent of the vote, advancing ahead of U.S. Rep. Ralph Norman to the August 25 runoff. The market’s 100 percent consensus aligns with verified first-round results showing her as the clear leader. Remaining uncertainty is minimal, though an official recount, certification delay, or unexpected procedural challenge could still shift the recorded outcome before resolution.

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$628,043
Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 22, 2026, 6:45 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. Darline Graham Nordone holds a dominant position in the South Carolina Republican primary for the special Senate seat due to her appointment by Governor Henry McMaster to finish her late brother Lindsey Graham’s term, combined with high name recognition and an endorsement from President Trump. These elements allowed her to top a ten-candidate field on August 11 with roughly 33 percent of the vote, advancing ahead of U.S. Rep. Ralph Norman to the August 25 runoff. The market’s 100 percent consensus aligns with verified first-round results showing her as the clear leader. Remaining uncertainty is minimal, though an official recount, certification delay, or unexpected procedural challenge could still shift the recorded outcome before resolution.

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$628,043
Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 22, 2026, 6:45 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Verwandte

icon for Werden bei der Zwischenwahl 2026 für den Senator aus South Carolina insgesamt zwischen 1.800.000 und 2.000.000 Stimmen abgegeben?

Werden bei der Zwischenwahl 2026 für den Senator aus South Carolina insgesamt zwischen 1.800.000 und 2.000.000 Stimmen abgegeben?

49%
Ja
icon for Wird der Kandidat der Republikanischen Partei die Senatswahl 2026 in South Carolina mit 0%-5% Vorsprung gewinnen?

Wird der Kandidat der Republikanischen Partei die Senatswahl 2026 in South Carolina mit 0%-5% Vorsprung gewinnen?

26%
Ja
icon for Werden die Republikaner das Senatsrennen in South Carolina 2026 gewinnen?

Werden die Republikaner das Senatsrennen in South Carolina 2026 gewinnen?

85%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 10 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Darline Graham Nordone" mit 100%, gefolgt von „Duke Buckner" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $628K generiert, seit der Markt am Jul 23, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 10 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner" ist „Darline Graham Nordone" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Duke Buckner" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.