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Wahlen·Globale Wahlen

Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl

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Wahlen·Globale Wahlen

Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl

Jordan Bardella 30%

Édouard Philippe 15%

Marine Le Pen 11%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10%

Polymarket

$10,001,767 Vol.

Jordan Bardella 30%

Édouard Philippe 15%

Marine Le Pen 11%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10%

Polymarket

$10,001,767 Vol.

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Jordan Bardella

$376,002 Vol.

30%

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Édouard Philippe

$270,462 Vol.

15%

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Marine Le Pen

$216,742 Vol.

11%

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Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$160,349 Vol.

10%

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Bruno Retailleau

$628,726 Vol.

7%

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Dominique de Villepin

$532,752 Vol.

6%

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Gabriel Attal

$551,744 Vol.

4%

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Sarah Knafo

$629,677 Vol.

3%

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Raphaël Glucksmann

$176,233 Vol.

2%

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David Lisnard

$484,118 Vol.

2%

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François Hollande

$216,238 Vol.

2%

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Sébastien Lecornu

$410,909 Vol.

2%

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Jean Castex

$209,080 Vol.

2%

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Juan Branco

$174,199 Vol.

1%

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François Ruffin

$131,290 Vol.

1%

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Éric Zemmour

$178,962 Vol.

1%

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Gérald Darmanin

$181,193 Vol.

1%

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Bernard Cazeneuve

$130,050 Vol.

1%

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Laurent Wauquiez

$150,327 Vol.

<1%

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Gruppeneintragstitel: Manuel Bompard

$454,793 Vol.

<1%

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Marine Tondelier

$118,341 Vol.

<1%

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Gruppeneintragstitel: Olivier Faure

$141,545 Vol.

<1%

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Mathilde Panot

$368,599 Vol.

<1%

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Clémence Guetté

$102,579 Vol.

<1%

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Fabien Roussel

$320,189 Vol.

<1%

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François Asselineau

$231,471 Vol.

<1%

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Gruppeneintrag Titel: Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$379,593 Vol.

<1%

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Valérie Pécresse

$192,002 Vol.

<1%

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Élisabeth Borne

$134,065 Vol.

<1%

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Carole Delga

$157,345 Vol.

<1%

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Xavier Bertrand

$188,873 Vol.

<1%

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Ségolène Royal

$292,007 Vol.

<1%

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Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Clémentine Autain

$449,031 Vol.

<1%

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Michel Barnier

$274,385 Vol.

<1%

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Gruppeneintragstitel: François Bayrou

$159,121 Vol.

<1%

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Gruppeneintragstitel: Yaël Braun-Pivet

$228,773 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$10,001,767
Enddatum
Apr 30, 2027
Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jordan Bardella" at 30%, followed by "Édouard Philippe" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" has generated $10 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" is "Jordan Bardella" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Édouard Philippe" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.