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Wahlen·Globale Wahlen

Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl

Market icon
Wahlen·Globale Wahlen

Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl

Édouard Philippe 28%

Jordan Bardella 21%

Marine Le Pen 9%

David Lisnard 6.7%

Polymarket

$30,990,853 Vol.

Édouard Philippe 28%

Jordan Bardella 21%

Marine Le Pen 9%

David Lisnard 6.7%

Polymarket

$30,990,853 Vol.

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Édouard Philippe

$446,832 Vol.

28%

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Jordan Bardella

$666,285 Vol.

21%

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Marine Le Pen

$333,398 Vol.

9%

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David Lisnard

$755,394 Vol.

7%

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Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$246,850 Vol.

6%

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Dominique de Villepin

$860,643 Vol.

4%

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Raphaël Glucksmann

$498,724 Vol.

3%

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François Hollande

$591,689 Vol.

3%

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Bruno Retailleau

$937,205 Vol.

3%

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Sarah Knafo

$1,009,765 Vol.

3%

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Gabriel Attal

$865,638 Vol.

2%

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Gérald Darmanin

$338,645 Vol.

1%

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Éric Zemmour

$364,177 Vol.

1%

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Jean Castex

$478,026 Vol.

1%

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Sébastien Lecornu

$640,224 Vol.

1%

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François Ruffin

$330,261 Vol.

1%

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Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Clémentine Autain

$1,846,644 Vol.

1%

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Gruppeneintragstitel: Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,337,453 Vol.

1%

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Clémence Guetté

$1,647,176 Vol.

1%

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Laurent Wauquiez

$377,657 Vol.

1%

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François Asselineau

$1,699,886 Vol.

1%

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Gruppeneintrag Titel: Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1,335,688 Vol.

1%

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Élisabeth Borne

$1,568,776 Vol.

1%

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Juan Branco

$291,391 Vol.

1%

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Marine Tondelier

$414,538 Vol.

1%

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Michel Barnier

$1,153,417 Vol.

1%

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Gruppeneintragstitel: François Bayrou

$1,612,990 Vol.

1%

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Valérie Pécresse

$1,142,074 Vol.

<1%

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Gruppeneintragstitel: Manuel Bompard

$1,049,249 Vol.

<1%

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Xavier Bertrand

$858,126 Vol.

<1%

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Gruppeneintragstitel: Olivier Faure

$918,872 Vol.

<1%

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Ségolène Royal

$1,085,098 Vol.

<1%

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Bernard Cazeneuve

$338,484 Vol.

<1%

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Fabien Roussel

$1,100,690 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Mathilde Panot

$1,106,270 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Carole Delga

$743,155 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent municipal elections in late March 2026 propelled Édouard Philippe to the top of trader consensus at 27.5% implied probability, as his reelection as mayor of Le Havre with 47.7% solidified his status as the centrist frontrunner best positioned to defeat far-right challenger Jordan Bardella (20.5%) in a potential runoff, per post-election polls showing Philippe ahead 52-48%. National Rally gained over 50 towns but fell short in Paris and Marseille, tempering momentum amid ongoing party candidate selections and Marine Le Pen's ineligibility appeal verdict due July 7. The race remains tight due to fragmented fields, hung parliament dynamics, and undecided voter blocs; separation could arise from primary outcomes, fresh polling, or government crises before the April 2027 first round.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$30,990,853
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent municipal elections in late March 2026 propelled Édouard Philippe to the top of trader consensus at 27.5% implied probability, as his reelection as mayor of Le Havre with 47.7% solidified his status as the centrist frontrunner best positioned to defeat far-right challenger Jordan Bardella (20.5%) in a potential runoff, per post-election polls showing Philippe ahead 52-48%. National Rally gained over 50 towns but fell short in Paris and Marseille, tempering momentum amid ongoing party candidate selections and Marine Le Pen's ineligibility appeal verdict due July 7. The race remains tight due to fragmented fields, hung parliament dynamics, and undecided voter blocs; separation could arise from primary outcomes, fresh polling, or government crises before the April 2027 first round.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$30,990,853
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 36 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Édouard Philippe" mit 28%, gefolgt von „Jordan Bardella" mit 21%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 28¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 28% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $31 million generiert, seit der Markt am Nov 13, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 36 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" ist „Édouard Philippe" mit 28%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 28% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Jordan Bardella" mit 21%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.