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Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl

icon for Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl
Wahlen·Globale Wahlen

Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl

Jordan Bardella 24%

Édouard Philippe 20%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%

Marine Le Pen 6%

Polymarket

$71,897,148 Vol.

Jordan Bardella 24%

Édouard Philippe 20%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%

Marine Le Pen 6%

Polymarket

$71,897,148 Vol.

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$894,209 Vol.

24%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$703,563 Vol.

20%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$557,385 Vol.

12%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$520,947 Vol.

6%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$1,155,458 Vol.

5%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,203,496 Vol.

5%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$1,018,434 Vol.

4%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,238,402 Vol.

3%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$1,366,503 Vol.

3%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$836,481 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$1,301,231 Vol.

2%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$1,478,329 Vol.

1%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$889,554 Vol.

1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$741,391 Vol.

1%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$1,362,982 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$1,266,394 Vol.

1%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$2,051,682 Vol.

1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$2,590,247 Vol.

1%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$735,650 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$2,688,832 Vol.

1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$2,174,225 Vol.

1%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$3,527,127 Vol.

1%

icon for Gruppeneintrag Titel: Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Gruppeneintrag Titel: Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$2,802,629 Vol.

1%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,540,164 Vol.

1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$2,078,934 Vol.

1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$3,123,019 Vol.

1%

icon for Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Clémentine Autain

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Clémentine Autain

$3,032,991 Vol.

1%

icon for Gruppeneintragstitel: Yaël Braun-Pivet

Gruppeneintragstitel: Yaël Braun-Pivet

$3,789,758 Vol.

1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$3,560,642 Vol.

1%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$3,306,612 Vol.

1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$2,654,426 Vol.

1%

icon for Gruppeneintragstitel: Manuel Bompard

Gruppeneintragstitel: Manuel Bompard

$2,897,867 Vol.

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$3,224,337 Vol.

1%

icon for Gruppeneintragstitel: Olivier Faure

Gruppeneintragstitel: Olivier Faure

$2,484,342 Vol.

1%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$3,348,122 Vol.

1%

icon for Gruppeneintragstitel: François Bayrou

Gruppeneintragstitel: François Bayrou

$3,751,510 Vol.

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The fragmented French political landscape one year before the 2027 presidential vote keeps probabilities tightly bunched, with trader consensus assigning Jordan Bardella the narrowest edge on the strength of National Rally polling gains and Marine Le Pen’s pending July appeal on her embezzlement conviction. Édouard Philippe’s recent campaign launch has consolidated center-right support around the former prime minister, positioning him as the strongest potential runoff opponent while splitting the moderate vote with Gabriel Attal and Bruno Retailleau. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s declared left-wing bid further fragments the opposition, sustaining the close first-round spread. An upheld ban on Le Pen would accelerate Bardella’s consolidation on the right, whereas a reversal or strong centrist unification could widen Philippe’s path; scheduled municipal results and summer polling will likely determine whether either candidate pulls decisively ahead.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$71,897,148
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The fragmented French political landscape one year before the 2027 presidential vote keeps probabilities tightly bunched, with trader consensus assigning Jordan Bardella the narrowest edge on the strength of National Rally polling gains and Marine Le Pen’s pending July appeal on her embezzlement conviction. Édouard Philippe’s recent campaign launch has consolidated center-right support around the former prime minister, positioning him as the strongest potential runoff opponent while splitting the moderate vote with Gabriel Attal and Bruno Retailleau. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s declared left-wing bid further fragments the opposition, sustaining the close first-round spread. An upheld ban on Le Pen would accelerate Bardella’s consolidation on the right, whereas a reversal or strong centrist unification could widen Philippe’s path; scheduled municipal results and summer polling will likely determine whether either candidate pulls decisively ahead.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$71,897,148
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 36 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Jordan Bardella" mit 24%, gefolgt von „Édouard Philippe" mit 20%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 24¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 24% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $71.9 million generiert, seit der Markt am Nov 13, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 36 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" ist „Jordan Bardella" mit 24%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 24% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Édouard Philippe" mit 20%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.