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Wahlen·Kanada

University—Rosedale By-Election Winner

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Wahlen·Kanada

University—Rosedale By-Election Winner

Danielle Martin 98.7%

Don Hodgson <1%

Imran Khan <1%

Andy D’Andrea <1%

Polymarket
NEU

$27,338 Vol.

Danielle Martin 98.7%

Don Hodgson <1%

Imran Khan <1%

Andy D’Andrea <1%

Polymarket
NEU

$27,338 Vol.

Market icon

Danielle Martin

$23,000 Vol.

99%

Market icon

Don Hodgson

$485 Vol.

<1%

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Imran Khan

$481 Vol.

<1%

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Andy D’Andrea

$481 Vol.

<1%

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Leslie Bory

$481 Vol.

<1%

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Bill Whatcott

$481 Vol.

<1%

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Serena Purdy

$486 Vol.

<1%

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Samuel Baxter

$481 Vol.

<1%

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Raiden DeDominicis

$481 Vol.

<1%

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Andrew Massey

$481 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Trader consensus heavily favors Liberal candidate Danielle Martin at 98.7% implied probability to win the University—Rosedale federal by-election on April 13, reflecting the riding's longstanding status as a Liberal stronghold in urban Toronto, where the party secured 64% of the vote in the 2025 general election amid low Conservative (23.5%) and NDP (9.9%) support. Family physician and health leader Martin's nomination in late January, bolstered by Prime Minister Mark Carney's campaign visits and robust canvassing, has solidified her position against a fragmented field including Conservative Don Hodgson, NDP's Serena Purdy, and several independents or minor party challengers like Bill Whatcott. Advance polls opened April 3 with no reported shifts, underscoring historical base rates for safe seat retention in low-turnout by-elections. Upsets would require a late scandal, voter mobilization surge, or Freeland-era backlash, though structural advantages make these improbable before resolution via official Elections Canada results.

A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Volumen
$27,338
Enddatum
13. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Trader consensus heavily favors Liberal candidate Danielle Martin at 98.7% implied probability to win the University—Rosedale federal by-election on April 13, reflecting the riding's longstanding status as a Liberal stronghold in urban Toronto, where the party secured 64% of the vote in the 2025 general election amid low Conservative (23.5%) and NDP (9.9%) support. Family physician and health leader Martin's nomination in late January, bolstered by Prime Minister Mark Carney's campaign visits and robust canvassing, has solidified her position against a fragmented field including Conservative Don Hodgson, NDP's Serena Purdy, and several independents or minor party challengers like Bill Whatcott. Advance polls opened April 3 with no reported shifts, underscoring historical base rates for safe seat retention in low-turnout by-elections. Upsets would require a late scandal, voter mobilization surge, or Freeland-era backlash, though structural advantages make these improbable before resolution via official Elections Canada results.

A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Volumen
$27,338
Enddatum
13. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„University—Rosedale By-Election Winner" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 10 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Danielle Martin" mit 99%, gefolgt von „Don Hodgson" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 99¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 99% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „University—Rosedale By-Election Winner" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $27.3K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 3, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „University—Rosedale By-Election Winner" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 10 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „University—Rosedale By-Election Winner" ist „Danielle Martin" mit 99%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 99% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Don Hodgson" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „University—Rosedale By-Election Winner" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.