Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe holds a dominant 72% implied probability in trader consensus for the October 26 Ottawa municipal election, driven by his lead among decided voters in the April Liaison Strategies poll (46% vs. Jeff Leiper's 37%, with 48% undecided overall) and strong incumbency advantages like name recognition despite net negative approval on transit (-49), traffic (-22), and homelessness (-25). Nominations opened May 1, prompting Kitchissippi Coun. Leiper (21.5%) to file and release a platform targeting housing affordability and transit improvements, while Neil Saravanamuttoo (2.5%) and Alex Lawson (2.4%) also entered; Sutcliffe has yet to file papers, focusing on governing amid a fragmented challenger field and speculation over others like Tim Tierney joining. High undecideds leave room for shifts as the 178-day campaign unfolds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertOttawa Mayoral Election Winner
Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner
Mark Sutcliffe 72%
Jeff Leiper 22%
Alex Lawson 3.5%
Neil Saravanamuttoo 1.0%
$12,335 Vol.
$12,335 Vol.

Mark Sutcliffe
72%

Jeff Leiper
22%

Alex Lawson
3%

Neil Saravanamuttoo
1%

Catherine McKenney
<1%
Mark Sutcliffe 72%
Jeff Leiper 22%
Alex Lawson 3.5%
Neil Saravanamuttoo 1.0%
$12,335 Vol.
$12,335 Vol.

Mark Sutcliffe
72%

Jeff Leiper
22%

Alex Lawson
3%

Neil Saravanamuttoo
1%

Catherine McKenney
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe holds a dominant 72% implied probability in trader consensus for the October 26 Ottawa municipal election, driven by his lead among decided voters in the April Liaison Strategies poll (46% vs. Jeff Leiper's 37%, with 48% undecided overall) and strong incumbency advantages like name recognition despite net negative approval on transit (-49), traffic (-22), and homelessness (-25). Nominations opened May 1, prompting Kitchissippi Coun. Leiper (21.5%) to file and release a platform targeting housing affordability and transit improvements, while Neil Saravanamuttoo (2.5%) and Alex Lawson (2.4%) also entered; Sutcliffe has yet to file papers, focusing on governing amid a fragmented challenger field and speculation over others like Tim Tierney joining. High undecideds leave room for shifts as the 178-day campaign unfolds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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