Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary, reflecting recent LA Times/Berkeley IGS polling showing her at 25% amid deeply unfavorable ratings (31-56%) tied to persistent homelessness, crime surges, and infrastructure woes like the Palisades Fire. Councilmember Nithya Raman trails closely at 17% in polls but gains from her late entry and positive favorables (+3), appealing to progressives frustrated with Bass's record. Reality TV outsider Spencer Pratt's third-place 14% underscores anti-establishment sentiment. High undecideds (26%) keep the nonpartisan primary wide open, with top-two advancement likely; upcoming debates, endorsements, and crisis responses on housing affordability and public safety could widen gaps.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertBürgermeisterwahl in Los Angeles
Bürgermeisterwahl in Los Angeles
Karen Bass 42%
Nithya Raman 37%
Spencer Pratt 11%
Rae Huang 3.6%
$661,679 Vol.
$661,679 Vol.

Karen Bass
42%

Nithya Raman
37%

Spencer Pratt
11%

Rae Huang
4%

Gina Viola
2%

Adam Miller
1%

Rick Caruso
1%

Asaad Alnajjar
1%

Austin Beutner
<1%

Monica Rodriguez
<1%

Lindsey Horvath
<1%
Karen Bass 42%
Nithya Raman 37%
Spencer Pratt 11%
Rae Huang 3.6%
$661,679 Vol.
$661,679 Vol.

Karen Bass
42%

Nithya Raman
37%

Spencer Pratt
11%

Rae Huang
4%

Gina Viola
2%

Adam Miller
1%

Rick Caruso
1%

Asaad Alnajjar
1%

Austin Beutner
<1%

Monica Rodriguez
<1%

Lindsey Horvath
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary, reflecting recent LA Times/Berkeley IGS polling showing her at 25% amid deeply unfavorable ratings (31-56%) tied to persistent homelessness, crime surges, and infrastructure woes like the Palisades Fire. Councilmember Nithya Raman trails closely at 17% in polls but gains from her late entry and positive favorables (+3), appealing to progressives frustrated with Bass's record. Reality TV outsider Spencer Pratt's third-place 14% underscores anti-establishment sentiment. High undecideds (26%) keep the nonpartisan primary wide open, with top-two advancement likely; upcoming debates, endorsements, and crisis responses on housing affordability and public safety could widen gaps.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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