Richard Tabor leads trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability in the New Jersey Republican U.S. Senate primary due to his accumulation of county party endorsements, including strong wins in Middlesex, Somerset, Ocean, Atlantic, and Hunterdon counties through mid-March, signaling establishment momentum against incumbent Democrat Cory Booker's seat. Alex Zdan trails at 36.5% with backing from Bergen, Cumberland, and Salem organizations, reflecting a divided GOP field as Morris County opted against endorsing on March 19. The crowded primary ballot was certified last week following the March 25 filing deadline, sidelining lower-probability candidates like Justin Murphy and Robert Lebovics lacking comparable support. Absent public polls, odds capture skin-in-the-game assessments ahead of the June 2 primary, where further conventions or fundraising could shift the balance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertNew Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner
New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner
Richard Tabor 54%
Alex Zdan 37%
Justin Murphy 3.3%
Robert Lebovics 3.3%
$405,009 Vol.
$405,009 Vol.
Richard Tabor
54%
Alex Zdan
37%
Justin Murphy
3%
Robert Lebovics
3%
Steven Boston
3%
Natalie Rivera
1%
Vinnie Brand
1%
Alina Habba
<1%
Richard Tabor 54%
Alex Zdan 37%
Justin Murphy 3.3%
Robert Lebovics 3.3%
$405,009 Vol.
$405,009 Vol.
Richard Tabor
54%
Alex Zdan
37%
Justin Murphy
3%
Robert Lebovics
3%
Steven Boston
3%
Natalie Rivera
1%
Vinnie Brand
1%
Alina Habba
<1%
If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 9, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Richard Tabor leads trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability in the New Jersey Republican U.S. Senate primary due to his accumulation of county party endorsements, including strong wins in Middlesex, Somerset, Ocean, Atlantic, and Hunterdon counties through mid-March, signaling establishment momentum against incumbent Democrat Cory Booker's seat. Alex Zdan trails at 36.5% with backing from Bergen, Cumberland, and Salem organizations, reflecting a divided GOP field as Morris County opted against endorsing on March 19. The crowded primary ballot was certified last week following the March 25 filing deadline, sidelining lower-probability candidates like Justin Murphy and Robert Lebovics lacking comparable support. Absent public polls, odds capture skin-in-the-game assessments ahead of the June 2 primary, where further conventions or fundraising could shift the balance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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