Trader consensus heavily favors retired Army Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman at 86% implied probability to win Florida's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 18, driven by his April 22 official filing—within the April 24 deadline—and blockbuster $8.2 million first-quarter fundraising, outpacing rivals and fueling grassroots momentum in the special election triggered by Marco Rubio's resignation and Ashley Moody's appointment. National recognition from his Trump impeachment testimony bolsters his lead over lower-funded challengers like Rep. Jared Moskowitz (2%), former Gov. Charlie Crist (2%), attorney Josh Weil (2%), ex-Rep. Alan Grayson, and state Rep. Angie Nixon, none of whom have mounted recent surges. Vindman's May 7 policy agenda rollout on affordability and corruption underscores his frontrunner status amid thin primary competition.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAlexander Vindman 86.8%
Charlie Crist 2.1%
Josh Weil 1.9%
Jared Moskowitz 1.8%
$135,666 Vol.
$135,666 Vol.
Alexander Vindman
87%
Charlie Crist
2%
Josh Weil
2%
Jared Moskowitz
2%
Alan Grayson
1%
Jennifer Jenkins
1%
Joey Atkins
1%
Angie Nixon
<1%
Alexander Vindman 86.8%
Charlie Crist 2.1%
Josh Weil 1.9%
Jared Moskowitz 1.8%
$135,666 Vol.
$135,666 Vol.
Alexander Vindman
87%
Charlie Crist
2%
Josh Weil
2%
Jared Moskowitz
2%
Alan Grayson
1%
Jennifer Jenkins
1%
Joey Atkins
1%
Angie Nixon
<1%
If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 2, 2025, 3:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors retired Army Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman at 86% implied probability to win Florida's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 18, driven by his April 22 official filing—within the April 24 deadline—and blockbuster $8.2 million first-quarter fundraising, outpacing rivals and fueling grassroots momentum in the special election triggered by Marco Rubio's resignation and Ashley Moody's appointment. National recognition from his Trump impeachment testimony bolsters his lead over lower-funded challengers like Rep. Jared Moskowitz (2%), former Gov. Charlie Crist (2%), attorney Josh Weil (2%), ex-Rep. Alan Grayson, and state Rep. Angie Nixon, none of whom have mounted recent surges. Vindman's May 7 policy agenda rollout on affordability and corruption underscores his frontrunner status amid thin primary competition.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen