**Abelardo de la Espriella holds a trader edge (56.5%) over Iván Cepeda Castro (45.5%) for most votes from Bogotá in the June 21 runoff, reflecting the right-wing outsider’s stronger national momentum after leading the first round 43.7%–40.9%.** Bogotá favored Cepeda in the first round (41.7%–37.7%), consistent with its urban, center-left tilt, yet de la Espriella’s gains among centrist and evangelical voters, plus endorsement momentum from third-place finisher Paloma Valencia, have shifted implied probabilities. The race remains tight because both candidates are consolidating polarized bases in a high-turnout environment, with undecided centrist blocs and coalition signals from figures like Sergio Fajardo still fluid. Recent campaign adjustments—Cepeda moderating on constitutional assembly proposals to court moderates, and de la Espriella emphasizing security and economic rupture—keep Bogotá competitive. Late developments such as Bogotá-specific polling shifts, turnout patterns in the capital, or last-minute endorsements before June 21 could widen the gap.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$501,914 Vol.
$501,914 Vol.
22. Juni 2026
Iván Cepeda Castro
Ja
Abelardo de la Espriella
Nein
$501,914 Vol.
$501,914 Vol.
22. Juni 2026
Iván Cepeda Castro
$220,625 Vol.
Ja
Abelardo de la Espriella
$281,289 Vol.
Nein
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).**Abelardo de la Espriella holds a trader edge (56.5%) over Iván Cepeda Castro (45.5%) for most votes from Bogotá in the June 21 runoff, reflecting the right-wing outsider’s stronger national momentum after leading the first round 43.7%–40.9%.** Bogotá favored Cepeda in the first round (41.7%–37.7%), consistent with its urban, center-left tilt, yet de la Espriella’s gains among centrist and evangelical voters, plus endorsement momentum from third-place finisher Paloma Valencia, have shifted implied probabilities. The race remains tight because both candidates are consolidating polarized bases in a high-turnout environment, with undecided centrist blocs and coalition signals from figures like Sergio Fajardo still fluid. Recent campaign adjustments—Cepeda moderating on constitutional assembly proposals to court moderates, and de la Espriella emphasizing security and economic rupture—keep Bogotá competitive. Late developments such as Bogotá-specific polling shifts, turnout patterns in the capital, or last-minute endorsements before June 21 could widen the gap.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Markt eröffnet: Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Volumen
$501,914Enddatum
22. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).**Abelardo de la Espriella holds a trader edge (56.5%) over Iván Cepeda Castro (45.5%) for most votes from Bogotá in the June 21 runoff, reflecting the right-wing outsider’s stronger national momentum after leading the first round 43.7%–40.9%.** Bogotá favored Cepeda in the first round (41.7%–37.7%), consistent with its urban, center-left tilt, yet de la Espriella’s gains among centrist and evangelical voters, plus endorsement momentum from third-place finisher Paloma Valencia, have shifted implied probabilities. The race remains tight because both candidates are consolidating polarized bases in a high-turnout environment, with undecided centrist blocs and coalition signals from figures like Sergio Fajardo still fluid. Recent campaign adjustments—Cepeda moderating on constitutional assembly proposals to court moderates, and de la Espriella emphasizing security and economic rupture—keep Bogotá competitive. Late developments such as Bogotá-specific polling shifts, turnout patterns in the capital, or last-minute endorsements before June 21 could widen the gap.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$501,914Enddatum
22. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
**Abelardo de la Espriella holds a trader edge (56.5%) over Iván Cepeda Castro (45.5%) for most votes from Bogotá in the June 21 runoff, reflecting the right-wing outsider’s stronger national momentum after leading the first round 43.7%–40.9%.** Bogotá favored Cepeda in the first round (41.7%–37.7%), consistent with its urban, center-left tilt, yet de la Espriella’s gains among centrist and evangelical voters, plus endorsement momentum from third-place finisher Paloma Valencia, have shifted implied probabilities. The race remains tight because both candidates are consolidating polarized bases in a high-turnout environment, with undecided centrist blocs and coalition signals from figures like Sergio Fajardo still fluid. Recent campaign adjustments—Cepeda moderating on constitutional assembly proposals to court moderates, and de la Espriella emphasizing security and economic rupture—keep Bogotá competitive. Late developments such as Bogotá-specific polling shifts, turnout patterns in the capital, or last-minute endorsements before June 21 could widen the gap.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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