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Politik·Primär

Wer wird von der Vorwahl des kalifornischen Gouverneurs aufsteigen?

Market icon
Politik·Primär

Wer wird von der Vorwahl des kalifornischen Gouverneurs aufsteigen?

$412,244 Vol.

2. Juni 2026
Polymarket

$412,244 Vol.

Polymarket

Eric Swalwell

$11,040 Vol.

66%

Steve Hilton

$31,215 Vol.

57%

Chad Bianco

$11,953 Vol.

36%

Tom Steyer

$17,631 Vol.

31%

Elaine Culotti

$0 Vol.

19%

Katie Porter

$0 Vol.

17%

Matt Mahan

$10,783 Vol.

14%

Xavier Becerra

$3,192 Vol.

8%

Tony Thurmond

$966 Vol.

6%

Betty Yee

$2,635 Vol.

6%

Ethan Agarwal

$2,470 Vol.

5%

Sharifah Hardie

$0 Vol.

4%

Ché Ahn

$14,826 Vol.

4%

David Thelen

$750 Vol.

4%

Jimmy Parker

$0 Vol.

4%

Dylan Colbert

$13,305 Vol.

3%

Daniel Mercuri

$8,319 Vol.

3%

Ryan Tillman

$1,179 Vol.

3%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$11,452 Vol.

3%

Derek Grasty

$1,039 Vol.

3%

Nicki Minaj

$0 Vol.

3%

Leo Zacky

$0 Vol.

2%

David Serpa

$3,833 Vol.

2%

Javen Allen

$0 Vol.

10%

Leonard Jackson

$0 Vol.

2%

Raji Rab

$0 Vol.

2%

Carolina Buhler

$6,191 Vol.

2%

Kyle Langford

$10,357 Vol.

2%

Nicholas Thompson

$6,631 Vol.

2%

Thunder Parley

$49,022 Vol.

2%

Butch Ware

$7,512 Vol.

2%

Zoltan Istvan

$11,336 Vol.

1%

Ramsey Robinson

$0 Vol.

1%

Brandon Jones

$33,473 Vol.

1%

Ian Calderon

$103,383 Vol.

1%

Sophia Brink

$37,751 Vol.

1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.In California's nonpartisan top-two primary for governor on June 2, 2026, recent polls reflect trader concerns over a fragmented Democratic field allowing Republicans Steve Hilton and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco to lead, with Hilton at 15-20% and Bianco close behind in March surveys like Emerson and Desert Sun, while Democrats Eric Swalwell, Katie Porter, and Tom Steyer trail amid high undecideds around 25%. The open seat left by term-limited Gov. Gavin Newsom has drawn over 40 candidates, mostly Democrats, heightening risks of two Republicans advancing despite the state's Democratic trifecta and registration edge. Ballots mail May 4, with a canceled USC debate on March 24 underscoring tensions; the California Democratic Party urged low-polling contenders to exit to consolidate support.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volumen
$412,244
Enddatum
2. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.In California's nonpartisan top-two primary for governor on June 2, 2026, recent polls reflect trader concerns over a fragmented Democratic field allowing Republicans Steve Hilton and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco to lead, with Hilton at 15-20% and Bianco close behind in March surveys like Emerson and Desert Sun, while Democrats Eric Swalwell, Katie Porter, and Tom Steyer trail amid high undecideds around 25%. The open seat left by term-limited Gov. Gavin Newsom has drawn over 40 candidates, mostly Democrats, heightening risks of two Republicans advancing despite the state's Democratic trifecta and registration edge. Ballots mail May 4, with a canceled USC debate on March 24 underscoring tensions; the California Democratic Party urged low-polling contenders to exit to consolidate support.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volumen
$412,244
Enddatum
2. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wer wird von der Vorwahl des kalifornischen Gouverneurs aufsteigen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 36 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Eric Swalwell" mit 66%, gefolgt von „Steve Hilton" mit 57%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 66¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 66% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wer wird von der Vorwahl des kalifornischen Gouverneurs aufsteigen?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $412.2K generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 4, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wer wird von der Vorwahl des kalifornischen Gouverneurs aufsteigen?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 36 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wer wird von der Vorwahl des kalifornischen Gouverneurs aufsteigen?" ist „Eric Swalwell" mit 66%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 66% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Steve Hilton" mit 57%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wer wird von der Vorwahl des kalifornischen Gouverneurs aufsteigen?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.