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icon for Werden die Tidö-Parteien bei den schwedischen Parlamentswahlen 2026 die Mehrheit gewinnen?
Politik·Koalition

Werden die Tidö-Parteien bei den schwedischen Parlamentswahlen 2026 die Mehrheit gewinnen?

icon for Werden die Tidö-Parteien bei den schwedischen Parlamentswahlen 2026 die Mehrheit gewinnen?
Politik·Koalition

Werden die Tidö-Parteien bei den schwedischen Parlamentswahlen 2026 die Mehrheit gewinnen?

Ja

10%
Polymarket
NEU

Ja

10%
Polymarket
NEU
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections. Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag). This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling aggregates show the centre-left Red-Green opposition bloc (led by Social Democrats) consistently ahead of the incumbent Tidö parties (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, supported by Sweden Democrats) by 9–13 points, translating to projected seat totals of roughly 196–202 versus 147–153 out of 349—well short of the 175-seat majority threshold. June 2026 surveys from Novus, Verian, and SCB confirm this gap, with the Tidö bloc at 42–44% and opposition at 53–55%. The September 13 election date is approaching amid ongoing campaigning focused on crime, security, and economic conditions. These stable trends, reflecting voter shifts from the narrow 2022 Tidö victory, underpin trader consensus that the bloc will fall short of a majority.

In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volumen
$2,444
Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections. Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag). This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections. Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag). This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling aggregates show the centre-left Red-Green opposition bloc (led by Social Democrats) consistently ahead of the incumbent Tidö parties (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, supported by Sweden Democrats) by 9–13 points, translating to projected seat totals of roughly 196–202 versus 147–153 out of 349—well short of the 175-seat majority threshold. June 2026 surveys from Novus, Verian, and SCB confirm this gap, with the Tidö bloc at 42–44% and opposition at 53–55%. The September 13 election date is approaching amid ongoing campaigning focused on crime, security, and economic conditions. These stable trends, reflecting voter shifts from the narrow 2022 Tidö victory, underpin trader consensus that the bloc will fall short of a majority.

In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volumen
$2,444
Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections. Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag). This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

Verwandte

icon for Wird die Schwedische Sozialdemokratische Partei (S) bei der schwedischen Parlamentswahl 2026 die meisten Sitze gewinnen?

Wird die Schwedische Sozialdemokratische Partei (S) bei der schwedischen Parlamentswahl 2026 die meisten Sitze gewinnen?

96%
Ja
icon for Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

80%
icon for Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

81%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

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