Andy Burnham leads the Makerfield by-election market at 82% due to his fast-tracked selection as the Labour candidate after the May 2026 resignation of incumbent Josh Simons, which explicitly created the opportunity for the Greater Manchester mayor and former cabinet minister to return to Westminster. Labour’s National Executive Committee bypassed local selection processes to confirm him in mid-May, leveraging his strong regional profile and the constituency’s history as a safe Labour seat. Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon, a local candidate who previously contested the seat, holds the next position at 16% by focusing on cost-of-living issues, though he lacks equivalent party infrastructure or name recognition ahead of the June 18 vote. Minor candidates trail at low single digits or below, reflecting limited competitive traction in the short campaign window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMakerfield by-election Winner
Andy Burnham 83%
Robert Kenyon 16%
Rebecca Shepherd 2.6%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$2,239,759 Vol.
$2,239,759 Vol.
Andy Burnham
83%
Robert Kenyon
16%
Rebecca Shepherd
3%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
Andy Burnham 83%
Robert Kenyon 16%
Rebecca Shepherd 2.6%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$2,239,759 Vol.
$2,239,759 Vol.
Andy Burnham
83%
Robert Kenyon
16%
Rebecca Shepherd
3%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Andy Burnham leads the Makerfield by-election market at 82% due to his fast-tracked selection as the Labour candidate after the May 2026 resignation of incumbent Josh Simons, which explicitly created the opportunity for the Greater Manchester mayor and former cabinet minister to return to Westminster. Labour’s National Executive Committee bypassed local selection processes to confirm him in mid-May, leveraging his strong regional profile and the constituency’s history as a safe Labour seat. Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon, a local candidate who previously contested the seat, holds the next position at 16% by focusing on cost-of-living issues, though he lacks equivalent party infrastructure or name recognition ahead of the June 18 vote. Minor candidates trail at low single digits or below, reflecting limited competitive traction in the short campaign window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen