Trader consensus implies an 88.5% probability that Vladimir Putin will remain Russia's president through December 31, 2026, anchored by his constitutionally secured term until 2030 following the March 2024 election victory. Recent Kremlin tightening of security around Putin, reported amid intelligence on assassination and coup fears, signals heightened vigilance without indications of instability. Persistent but unverified health rumors—such as coughing episodes and a new $26 billion anti-aging vaccine project—have not materialized into official incapacity claims. Absent major Ukraine war reversals, elite defections, or sudden diplomatic shifts, traders view structural barriers like controlled elections and suppressed opposition as sustaining his rule, though late-breaking scandals or health events could alter odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertPutin bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 als Präsident Russlands aus?
Putin bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 als Präsident Russlands aus?
Ja
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
Ja
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Abwickler
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwickler
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus implies an 88.5% probability that Vladimir Putin will remain Russia's president through December 31, 2026, anchored by his constitutionally secured term until 2030 following the March 2024 election victory. Recent Kremlin tightening of security around Putin, reported amid intelligence on assassination and coup fears, signals heightened vigilance without indications of instability. Persistent but unverified health rumors—such as coughing episodes and a new $26 billion anti-aging vaccine project—have not materialized into official incapacity claims. Absent major Ukraine war reversals, elite defections, or sudden diplomatic shifts, traders view structural barriers like controlled elections and suppressed opposition as sustaining his rule, though late-breaking scandals or health events could alter odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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