Vladimir Putin's firm constitutional hold on power, extended by 2020 amendments allowing service until 2036 and solidified by his unchallenged March 2024 re-election with 87% of the vote amid suppressed opposition, drives the 87.5% implied probability traders assign to him remaining Russian President through 2026. No credible internal challenges, coups, or health crises have emerged in recent months—despite unverified rumors—to disrupt his control, as evidenced by his active public schedule, including a June 2024 mutual defense pact with North Korea and directives on Ukraine military escalations. With his term secured until 2030 and no snap elections or no-confidence mechanisms in Russia's presidential system, traders see formidable barriers to an early exit barring unforeseen shocks like sudden illness or elite revolt.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertPutin bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 als Präsident Russlands aus?
Putin bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 als Präsident Russlands aus?
Ja
$3,154,730 Vol.
$3,154,730 Vol.
Ja
$3,154,730 Vol.
$3,154,730 Vol.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Abwickler
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwickler
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vladimir Putin's firm constitutional hold on power, extended by 2020 amendments allowing service until 2036 and solidified by his unchallenged March 2024 re-election with 87% of the vote amid suppressed opposition, drives the 87.5% implied probability traders assign to him remaining Russian President through 2026. No credible internal challenges, coups, or health crises have emerged in recent months—despite unverified rumors—to disrupt his control, as evidenced by his active public schedule, including a June 2024 mutual defense pact with North Korea and directives on Ukraine military escalations. With his term secured until 2030 and no snap elections or no-confidence mechanisms in Russia's presidential system, traders see formidable barriers to an early exit barring unforeseen shocks like sudden illness or elite revolt.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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