Ongoing Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian territory have repeatedly triggered simultaneous flight suspensions at Moscow’s three main airports—Sheremetyevo (SVO), Domodedovo (DME), and Vnukovo (VKO)—as Rosaviatsia imposes temporary restrictions to enable air-defense operations and ensure safety. Multiple incidents occurred in May and June 2026, including large-scale barrages that closed all relevant hubs for several hours, with additional measures in July lowering maximum altitudes and banning transit flights over the region until at least late August. These patterns reflect sustained conflict dynamics and defense protocols rather than isolated weather or technical events. The market’s implied probability reflects trader assessment of continued strike frequency within the resolution window through August 31, 2026, with any major de-escalation or shift in Ukrainian capabilities potentially altering outcomes before expiry.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMoskauer Flugverkehr ausgesetzt durch...?
Moskauer Flugverkehr ausgesetzt durch...?
$48,074 Vol.
22. Juli 2026
22. Juli
Nein
25. Juli
Nein
31. Juli
Nein
31. August
Ja
$48,074 Vol.
22. Juli
$1,065 Vol.
Nein
25. Juli
$1,682 Vol.
Nein
31. Juli
$2,110 Vol.
Nein
31. August
$43,217 Vol.
Ja
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian territory have repeatedly triggered simultaneous flight suspensions at Moscow’s three main airports—Sheremetyevo (SVO), Domodedovo (DME), and Vnukovo (VKO)—as Rosaviatsia imposes temporary restrictions to enable air-defense operations and ensure safety. Multiple incidents occurred in May and June 2026, including large-scale barrages that closed all relevant hubs for several hours, with additional measures in July lowering maximum altitudes and banning transit flights over the region until at least late August. These patterns reflect sustained conflict dynamics and defense protocols rather than isolated weather or technical events. The market’s implied probability reflects trader assessment of continued strike frequency within the resolution window through August 31, 2026, with any major de-escalation or shift in Ukrainian capabilities potentially altering outcomes before expiry.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 20, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
Volumen
$48,074Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 20, 2026, 4:46 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian territory have repeatedly triggered simultaneous flight suspensions at Moscow’s three main airports—Sheremetyevo (SVO), Domodedovo (DME), and Vnukovo (VKO)—as Rosaviatsia imposes temporary restrictions to enable air-defense operations and ensure safety. Multiple incidents occurred in May and June 2026, including large-scale barrages that closed all relevant hubs for several hours, with additional measures in July lowering maximum altitudes and banning transit flights over the region until at least late August. These patterns reflect sustained conflict dynamics and defense protocols rather than isolated weather or technical events. The market’s implied probability reflects trader assessment of continued strike frequency within the resolution window through August 31, 2026, with any major de-escalation or shift in Ukrainian capabilities potentially altering outcomes before expiry.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$48,074Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 20, 2026, 4:46 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Ongoing Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian territory have repeatedly triggered simultaneous flight suspensions at Moscow’s three main airports—Sheremetyevo (SVO), Domodedovo (DME), and Vnukovo (VKO)—as Rosaviatsia imposes temporary restrictions to enable air-defense operations and ensure safety. Multiple incidents occurred in May and June 2026, including large-scale barrages that closed all relevant hubs for several hours, with additional measures in July lowering maximum altitudes and banning transit flights over the region until at least late August. These patterns reflect sustained conflict dynamics and defense protocols rather than isolated weather or technical events. The market’s implied probability reflects trader assessment of continued strike frequency within the resolution window through August 31, 2026, with any major de-escalation or shift in Ukrainian capabilities potentially altering outcomes before expiry.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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