Russia maintains a high degree of regime stability under President Vladimir Putin as of mid-June 2026, with no verified coup attempt materializing despite earlier speculation. Leaked European intelligence reports from March–May highlighted tightened Kremlin security measures and concerns over potential plots involving figures like Sergei Shoigu, yet independent assessments from outlets including The Spectator and ISW found no supporting evidence and described such risks as far-fetched given the loyalty of security services. Putin has continued public engagements, including at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum in early June, while approval ratings remain elevated. Traders price the 92% probability of no attempt accordingly, reflecting the entrenched authoritarian controls, absence of elite fractures capable of coordinated action, and precedent from the failed 2023 Prigozhin episode.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$43,403 Vol.
$43,403 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
$43,403 Vol.
$43,403 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia maintains a high degree of regime stability under President Vladimir Putin as of mid-June 2026, with no verified coup attempt materializing despite earlier speculation. Leaked European intelligence reports from March–May highlighted tightened Kremlin security measures and concerns over potential plots involving figures like Sergei Shoigu, yet independent assessments from outlets including The Spectator and ISW found no supporting evidence and described such risks as far-fetched given the loyalty of security services. Putin has continued public engagements, including at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum in early June, while approval ratings remain elevated. Traders price the 92% probability of no attempt accordingly, reflecting the entrenched authoritarian controls, absence of elite fractures capable of coordinated action, and precedent from the failed 2023 Prigozhin episode.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volumen
$43,403Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia maintains a high degree of regime stability under President Vladimir Putin as of mid-June 2026, with no verified coup attempt materializing despite earlier speculation. Leaked European intelligence reports from March–May highlighted tightened Kremlin security measures and concerns over potential plots involving figures like Sergei Shoigu, yet independent assessments from outlets including The Spectator and ISW found no supporting evidence and described such risks as far-fetched given the loyalty of security services. Putin has continued public engagements, including at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum in early June, while approval ratings remain elevated. Traders price the 92% probability of no attempt accordingly, reflecting the entrenched authoritarian controls, absence of elite fractures capable of coordinated action, and precedent from the failed 2023 Prigozhin episode.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$43,403Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia maintains a high degree of regime stability under President Vladimir Putin as of mid-June 2026, with no verified coup attempt materializing despite earlier speculation. Leaked European intelligence reports from March–May highlighted tightened Kremlin security measures and concerns over potential plots involving figures like Sergei Shoigu, yet independent assessments from outlets including The Spectator and ISW found no supporting evidence and described such risks as far-fetched given the loyalty of security services. Putin has continued public engagements, including at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum in early June, while approval ratings remain elevated. Traders price the 92% probability of no attempt accordingly, reflecting the entrenched authoritarian controls, absence of elite fractures capable of coordinated action, and precedent from the failed 2023 Prigozhin episode.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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