Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Republican House seats at 190-194 (38.5%) or below 190 (31%) after the 2026 midterms, reflecting historical patterns where the president's party loses an average of 26 House seats amid lower midterm turnout favoring the opposition. Republicans enter with a slim 220-215 majority from 2024, leaving many battleground and swing districts vulnerable to Democratic gains on the generic ballot, where early polls show out-party leads of 2-5 points. Trump's approval ratings, economic indicators like inflation and growth, and incumbent retirements will shape losses; special elections and fundraising edges could tip dynamics, keeping the race tight between modest and steeper Republican declines.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert192 seats
190-194 38%
Unter 190 32%
195-199 11%
205–209 11%
$109,594 Vol.
$109,594 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Unter 190
32%
190-194
38%
195-199
11%
200-204
8%
205–209
11%
210-214
1%
215-219
1%
220-224
2%
225-229
2%
230+
1%
190-194 38%
Unter 190 32%
195-199 11%
205–209 11%
$109,594 Vol.
$109,594 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Unter 190
$8,067 Vol.
32%
190-194
$5,001 Vol.
38%
195-199
$6,737 Vol.
11%
200-204
$3,611 Vol.
8%
205–209
$3,768 Vol.
11%
210-214
$6,479 Vol.
1%
215-219
$4,701 Vol.
1%
220-224
$50,072 Vol.
2%
225-229
$18,650 Vol.
2%
230+
$2,508 Vol.
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Republican House seats at 190-194 (38.5%) or below 190 (31%) after the 2026 midterms, reflecting historical patterns where the president's party loses an average of 26 House seats amid lower midterm turnout favoring the opposition. Republicans enter with a slim 220-215 majority from 2024, leaving many battleground and swing districts vulnerable to Democratic gains on the generic ballot, where early polls show out-party leads of 2-5 points. Trump's approval ratings, economic indicators like inflation and growth, and incumbent retirements will shape losses; special elections and fundraising edges could tip dynamics, keeping the race tight between modest and steeper Republican declines.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$109,594Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Republican House seats at 190-194 (38.5%) or below 190 (31%) after the 2026 midterms, reflecting historical patterns where the president's party loses an average of 26 House seats amid lower midterm turnout favoring the opposition. Republicans enter with a slim 220-215 majority from 2024, leaving many battleground and swing districts vulnerable to Democratic gains on the generic ballot, where early polls show out-party leads of 2-5 points. Trump's approval ratings, economic indicators like inflation and growth, and incumbent retirements will shape losses; special elections and fundraising edges could tip dynamics, keeping the race tight between modest and steeper Republican declines.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$109,594Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Republican House seats at 190-194 (38.5%) or below 190 (31%) after the 2026 midterms, reflecting historical patterns where the president's party loses an average of 26 House seats amid lower midterm turnout favoring the opposition. Republicans enter with a slim 220-215 majority from 2024, leaving many battleground and swing districts vulnerable to Democratic gains on the generic ballot, where early polls show out-party leads of 2-5 points. Trump's approval ratings, economic indicators like inflation and growth, and incumbent retirements will shape losses; special elections and fundraising edges could tip dynamics, keeping the race tight between modest and steeper Republican declines.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen