Keir Starmer's net approval rating has declined in April per YouGov polls, dipping to -45 (29% approve) in the April 25-26 survey from -28 at March's end, driven by backlash to Chancellor Rachel Reeves' Spring Budget on March 30, including winter fuel payment cuts for pensioners and inheritance tax hikes on farms that sparked widespread protests. Trader consensus prices "Up" at 58% implied probability, however, reflecting countervailing positives like inflation falling to 2.6% in March data released mid-April and Starmer's April 23 pledge to lift defense spending to 2.5% of GDP by 2027, which could stabilize sentiment in the closely contested month ahead of May 1 local elections.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertStarmer approval Up or Down in April?
Starmer approval Up or Down in April?
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister" is higher than 21%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 21%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 21%, or if no new data point is published by April 30, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "How well is Keir Starmer doing as Prime Minister?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 27, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister" is higher than 21%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 21%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 21%, or if no new data point is published by April 30, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "How well is Keir Starmer doing as Prime Minister?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Keir Starmer's net approval rating has declined in April per YouGov polls, dipping to -45 (29% approve) in the April 25-26 survey from -28 at March's end, driven by backlash to Chancellor Rachel Reeves' Spring Budget on March 30, including winter fuel payment cuts for pensioners and inheritance tax hikes on farms that sparked widespread protests. Trader consensus prices "Up" at 58% implied probability, however, reflecting countervailing positives like inflation falling to 2.6% in March data released mid-April and Starmer's April 23 pledge to lift defense spending to 2.5% of GDP by 2027, which could stabilize sentiment in the closely contested month ahead of May 1 local elections.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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