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Welt·Weltwahlen

Landtagssieger Berlin

icon for Landtagssieger Berlin
Welt·Weltwahlen

Landtagssieger Berlin

Linke 66%

CDU 32%

AfD 2.8%

Grüne <1%

Polymarket

$4,223,104 Vol.

Linke 66%

CDU 32%

AfD 2.8%

Grüne <1%

Polymarket

$4,223,104 Vol.

icon for Linke

Linke

$481,088 Vol.

66%

icon for CDU

CDU

$411,465 Vol.

32%

icon for AfD

AfD

$2,561,540 Vol.

3%

icon for Grüne

Grüne

$237,760 Vol.

1%

icon for SPD

SPD

$446,625 Vol.

<1%

icon for FDP

FDP

$20,953 Vol.

<1%

icon for FW

FW

$15,172 Vol.

<1%

icon for BSW

BSW

$48,502 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/) Late polls position Die Linke as the narrow frontrunner to become the largest party in today's Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, with recent surveys showing it at 21-22% ahead of the CDU on 20%. Trader pricing reflects Linke's consistent lead in the final weeks, driven by voter focus on housing affordability and gains from prior results, while the CDU has lost ground after its incumbent governing mayor stepped back from the race over crisis management. The AfD sits third near 18% amid broader regional momentum but faces structural barriers to victory or coalitions. No two-party combination reaches a majority, leaving potential three-party options involving the Linke or CDU with the SPD and Greens as key variables. This closely contested race aligns with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current odds.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volumen
$4,223,104
Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/) Late polls position Die Linke as the narrow frontrunner to become the largest party in today's Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, with recent surveys showing it at 21-22% ahead of the CDU on 20%. Trader pricing reflects Linke's consistent lead in the final weeks, driven by voter focus on housing affordability and gains from prior results, while the CDU has lost ground after its incumbent governing mayor stepped back from the race over crisis management. The AfD sits third near 18% amid broader regional momentum but faces structural barriers to victory or coalitions. No two-party combination reaches a majority, leaving potential three-party options involving the Linke or CDU with the SPD and Greens as key variables. This closely contested race aligns with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current odds.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volumen
$4,223,104
Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...

Verwandte

icon for Wird die AfD bei den Berliner Landtagswahlen 2026 die drittmeisten Sitze gewinnen?

Wird die AfD bei den Berliner Landtagswahlen 2026 die drittmeisten Sitze gewinnen?

60%
Ja
icon for Wird die Grüne bei der Berliner Landtagswahl 2026 die viertmeisten Sitze gewinnen?

Wird die Grüne bei der Berliner Landtagswahl 2026 die viertmeisten Sitze gewinnen?

86%
Ja
icon for Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

42%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Landtagssieger Berlin" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Linke" mit 66%, gefolgt von „CDU" mit 32%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 66¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 66% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Landtagssieger Berlin" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $4.2 million generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 2, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Landtagssieger Berlin" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 8 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Landtagssieger Berlin" ist „Linke" mit 66%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 66% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „CDU" mit 32%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Landtagssieger Berlin" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.