Market icon

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 2. Platz

Market icon

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 2. Platz

Flávio Bolsonaro 73%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 11%

Renan Santos 7%

Ratinho Júnior 6%

Polymarket

$51,165 Vol.

Flávio Bolsonaro 73%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 11%

Renan Santos 7%

Ratinho Júnior 6%

Polymarket

$51,165 Vol.

Market icon

Flávio Bolsonaro

$5,361 Vol.

73%

Market icon

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$5,350 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Renan Santos

$4,012 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Ratinho Júnior

$4,809 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Ronaldo Caiado

$3,400 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Romeu Zema

$3,962 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Michelle Bolsonaro

$3,265 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$3,738 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tarcisio de Freitas

$4,663 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Fernando Haddad

$4,138 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Jair Bolsonaro

$2,944 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Camilo Santana

$2,998 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Geraldo Alckmin

$2,526 Vol.

1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$51,165
Enddatum
Oct 4, 2026
Erstellt am
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 2. Platz" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Flávio Bolsonaro" at 73%, followed by "Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 2. Platz" has generated $51.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 2. Platz," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 2. Platz" is "Flávio Bolsonaro" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 2. Platz" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.