Alaska’s August 18 top-four primary features 17 candidates on a single nonpartisan ballot, with the highest vote-getters advancing to a November ranked-choice general election for the open governorship. Incumbent Republican Mike Dunleavy is term-limited, creating the first such contest in over two decades without an established frontrunner or heir apparent. Recent polling and observer assessments highlight Democratic candidates Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins as the strongest contenders to secure two of the four spots, while a fragmented Republican field—including Click Bishop, Bernadette Wilson, Dave Bronson, and others—competes for the remaining advances amid limited media attention and competition from a high-profile U.S. Senate race. Late-campaign activity has centered on local events such as parades, candidate forums, and voter outreach focused on state fiscal pressures and resource policy. The two-day window before ballots close leaves little room for major shifts, though turnout patterns among independents and rural voters could influence the final ordering.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$256,821 Vol.

Tom Begich
100%

Bernadette Wilson
92%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
81%

Dave Bronson
59%

Click Bishop
31%

Treg Taylor
29%

Bill Walker
20%

Adam Crum
9%

Lesil McGuire
22%

Matt Heilala
3%

Edna DeVries
3%

Bruce Walden
1%

Matt Claman
1%

Hank Kroll
1%

Shelley Hughes
1%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
1%

Jessica Faircloth
1%

Gregg Brelsford
1%

Nancy Dahlstrom
<1%

James Parkin
<1%
$256,821 Vol.

Tom Begich
100%

Bernadette Wilson
92%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
81%

Dave Bronson
59%

Click Bishop
31%

Treg Taylor
29%

Bill Walker
20%

Adam Crum
9%

Lesil McGuire
22%

Matt Heilala
3%

Edna DeVries
3%

Bruce Walden
1%

Matt Claman
1%

Hank Kroll
1%

Shelley Hughes
1%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
1%

Jessica Faircloth
1%

Gregg Brelsford
1%

Nancy Dahlstrom
<1%

James Parkin
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Alaska’s August 18 top-four primary features 17 candidates on a single nonpartisan ballot, with the highest vote-getters advancing to a November ranked-choice general election for the open governorship. Incumbent Republican Mike Dunleavy is term-limited, creating the first such contest in over two decades without an established frontrunner or heir apparent. Recent polling and observer assessments highlight Democratic candidates Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins as the strongest contenders to secure two of the four spots, while a fragmented Republican field—including Click Bishop, Bernadette Wilson, Dave Bronson, and others—competes for the remaining advances amid limited media attention and competition from a high-profile U.S. Senate race. Late-campaign activity has centered on local events such as parades, candidate forums, and voter outreach focused on state fiscal pressures and resource policy. The two-day window before ballots close leaves little room for major shifts, though turnout patterns among independents and rural voters could influence the final ordering.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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