State Sen. Greg Hull holds a slim 49% trader consensus edge over former House Minority Leader Duke Rodriguez at 42.5% in the New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary, reflecting Hull's stronger legislative incumbency and fundraising reports from recent quarterly filings that underscore his organization in conservative districts. The tight race persists amid scant recent polling—no major surveys since mid-2024—and the extended runway to the June 2026 primary, where Rodriguez's military background and business ties maintain competitiveness among the GOP base seeking a viable challenger to Democratic Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham. Separation could emerge from national endorsements like a Trump nod, party convention dynamics, early voter data from rural strongholds, or economic shifts impacting border security and energy issues.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertGreg Hull 49%
Duke Rodriguez 43%
Steve Lanier 4.0%
Judith Nakamura 1.4%
$364,767 Vol.
$364,767 Vol.
Greg Hull
49%
Duke Rodriguez
43%
Steve Lanier
4%
Judith Nakamura
1%
Susana Martinez
1%
Brian Cillessen
1%
Belinda Robertson
1%
Mark Murphy
<1%
John Sanchez
<1%
Greg Hull 49%
Duke Rodriguez 43%
Steve Lanier 4.0%
Judith Nakamura 1.4%
$364,767 Vol.
$364,767 Vol.
Greg Hull
49%
Duke Rodriguez
43%
Steve Lanier
4%
Judith Nakamura
1%
Susana Martinez
1%
Brian Cillessen
1%
Belinda Robertson
1%
Mark Murphy
<1%
John Sanchez
<1%
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Sen. Greg Hull holds a slim 49% trader consensus edge over former House Minority Leader Duke Rodriguez at 42.5% in the New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary, reflecting Hull's stronger legislative incumbency and fundraising reports from recent quarterly filings that underscore his organization in conservative districts. The tight race persists amid scant recent polling—no major surveys since mid-2024—and the extended runway to the June 2026 primary, where Rodriguez's military background and business ties maintain competitiveness among the GOP base seeking a viable challenger to Democratic Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham. Separation could emerge from national endorsements like a Trump nod, party convention dynamics, early voter data from rural strongholds, or economic shifts impacting border security and energy issues.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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