Trader consensus in the NY-07 Democratic primary heavily favors Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 77.5% implied probability for the June 23 contest, propelled by Sen. Bernie Sanders' endorsement on April 3 and her campaign's $750,000 grassroots haul from over 11,200 small donors in the initial reporting period. Backed by NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani, Democratic Socialists of America, Justice Democrats, and UAW, Valdez taps progressive energy in the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez. Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso trails at 20.5% with establishment support from Velázquez, AG Letitia James, and Rep. Pat Ryan, highlighting a divide between insurgents and incumbency networks amid the post-April 2 filing deadline. Low probabilities for others like Tiffany Cabán and Julie Won reflect fragmented fields in this Brooklyn-Queens battleground.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertClaire Valdez 77%
Antonio Reynoso 21%
Tiffany Cabán <1%
Lincoln Restler <1%
$86,189 Vol.
$86,189 Vol.
Claire Valdez
77%
Antonio Reynoso
21%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Julie Won
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Claire Valdez 77%
Antonio Reynoso 21%
Tiffany Cabán <1%
Lincoln Restler <1%
$86,189 Vol.
$86,189 Vol.
Claire Valdez
77%
Antonio Reynoso
21%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Julie Won
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the NY-07 Democratic primary heavily favors Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 77.5% implied probability for the June 23 contest, propelled by Sen. Bernie Sanders' endorsement on April 3 and her campaign's $750,000 grassroots haul from over 11,200 small donors in the initial reporting period. Backed by NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani, Democratic Socialists of America, Justice Democrats, and UAW, Valdez taps progressive energy in the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez. Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso trails at 20.5% with establishment support from Velázquez, AG Letitia James, and Rep. Pat Ryan, highlighting a divide between insurgents and incumbency networks amid the post-April 2 filing deadline. Low probabilities for others like Tiffany Cabán and Julie Won reflect fragmented fields in this Brooklyn-Queens battleground.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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