Trader consensus heavily favors New York State Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 76.5% implied probability to win the NY-07 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by Sen. Bernie Sanders' endorsement on April 2, which bolsters her appeal among progressive voters in the left-leaning Brooklyn-Queens district vacated by retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez. Valdez also holds backing from NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani, United Auto Workers, Justice Democrats, and Democratic Socialists of America, fueling grassroots momentum and fundraising. Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso trails at 19.5% despite endorsements from AG Letitia James, Rep. Pat Ryan, the Working Families Party, and Velázquez herself, as Valdez consolidates the socialist bloc. Minor candidates like Tiffany Cabán linger below 1%, reflecting fragmented support; upcoming petition deadlines and voter outreach could shift dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertClaire Valdez 77%
Antonio Reynoso 21%
Lincoln Restler <1%
Sandy Nurse <1%
$86,379 Vol.
$86,379 Vol.
Claire Valdez
77%
Antonio Reynoso
21%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Julie Won
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
Claire Valdez 77%
Antonio Reynoso 21%
Lincoln Restler <1%
Sandy Nurse <1%
$86,379 Vol.
$86,379 Vol.
Claire Valdez
77%
Antonio Reynoso
21%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Julie Won
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors New York State Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 76.5% implied probability to win the NY-07 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by Sen. Bernie Sanders' endorsement on April 2, which bolsters her appeal among progressive voters in the left-leaning Brooklyn-Queens district vacated by retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez. Valdez also holds backing from NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani, United Auto Workers, Justice Democrats, and Democratic Socialists of America, fueling grassroots momentum and fundraising. Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso trails at 19.5% despite endorsements from AG Letitia James, Rep. Pat Ryan, the Working Families Party, and Velázquez herself, as Valdez consolidates the socialist bloc. Minor candidates like Tiffany Cabán linger below 1%, reflecting fragmented support; upcoming petition deadlines and voter outreach could shift dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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