Claire Valdez leads trader consensus at 79% implied probability in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District, ahead of Antonio Reynoso at 18%, as the contest to succeed retiring Representative Nydia Velázquez centers on divisions between Democratic Socialists of America-backed candidates and broader progressive coalitions. Valdez benefits from Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s endorsement and DSA turnout infrastructure in Queens and Brooklyn, alongside a slight early fundraising edge. Reynoso draws institutional support including Velázquez’s backing and organized labor endorsements, yet a late-May Emerson poll showed the two nearly tied at 23% to 21% among likely primary voters with 43% undecided. Other candidates trail far behind in both polling and market pricing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertClaire Valdez 79%
Antonio Reynoso 18%
Julie Won <1%
Kristen Gonzalez <1%
$129,594 Vol.
$129,594 Vol.
Claire Valdez
79%
Antonio Reynoso
18%
Julie Won
<1%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
Claire Valdez 79%
Antonio Reynoso 18%
Julie Won <1%
Kristen Gonzalez <1%
$129,594 Vol.
$129,594 Vol.
Claire Valdez
79%
Antonio Reynoso
18%
Julie Won
<1%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Claire Valdez leads trader consensus at 79% implied probability in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District, ahead of Antonio Reynoso at 18%, as the contest to succeed retiring Representative Nydia Velázquez centers on divisions between Democratic Socialists of America-backed candidates and broader progressive coalitions. Valdez benefits from Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s endorsement and DSA turnout infrastructure in Queens and Brooklyn, alongside a slight early fundraising edge. Reynoso draws institutional support including Velázquez’s backing and organized labor endorsements, yet a late-May Emerson poll showed the two nearly tied at 23% to 21% among likely primary voters with 43% undecided. Other candidates trail far behind in both polling and market pricing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen