In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 4, trader consensus gives Brad Cohen a slim edge at 37.5% implied probability, fueled by his fundraising dominance—$1.2 million cash on hand from over 5,000 donors—and leads in recent Emerson and Data for Progress polls amid Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement from the open seat. Verlina Reynolds-Jackson (32%) draws progressive backing as an assemblywoman, while Susan Altman (23%) leverages neighboring district name recognition, sustaining a tight three-way contest in diverse Middlesex and Somerset counties. Separation could arise from final endorsements, candidate forums, early voting trends, or turnout among key blocs like Jewish voters and union households before absentee deadlines.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertBrad Cohen 38%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%
Susan Altman 16%
Adam Hamawy 7%
$24,163 Vol.
$24,163 Vol.
Brad Cohen
38%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson
32%
Susan Altman
23%
Adam Hamawy
7%
Adrian Mapp
5%
Matthew Adams
5%
Elijah Dixon
3%
Michael Anderson
2%
Kyle Little
2%
Raymond Heck
2%
Tennille R. McCoy
1%
Brad Cohen 38%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%
Susan Altman 16%
Adam Hamawy 7%
$24,163 Vol.
$24,163 Vol.
Brad Cohen
38%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson
32%
Susan Altman
23%
Adam Hamawy
7%
Adrian Mapp
5%
Matthew Adams
5%
Elijah Dixon
3%
Michael Anderson
2%
Kyle Little
2%
Raymond Heck
2%
Tennille R. McCoy
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 4, trader consensus gives Brad Cohen a slim edge at 37.5% implied probability, fueled by his fundraising dominance—$1.2 million cash on hand from over 5,000 donors—and leads in recent Emerson and Data for Progress polls amid Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement from the open seat. Verlina Reynolds-Jackson (32%) draws progressive backing as an assemblywoman, while Susan Altman (23%) leverages neighboring district name recognition, sustaining a tight three-way contest in diverse Middlesex and Somerset counties. Separation could arise from final endorsements, candidate forums, early voting trends, or turnout among key blocs like Jewish voters and union households before absentee deadlines.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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