Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams commands trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by his fundraising dominance—over $1 million raised—and name recognition from his 2019-2021 House term in a predecessor district. State Sen. Nate Blouin holds 19.5% amid progressive endorsements from Our Revolution and attacks portraying McAdams as overly moderate with corporate PAC ties, though Blouin's old social media posts criticizing the LDS Church have drawn backlash. Newcomer Liban Mohamed surged to 6.6% after his April 25 state convention upset via ranked-choice voting over McAdams, securing party nomination support, but early polls showing McAdams leading persist ahead of June 2 ballot drop.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertBen McAdams 75%
Nate Blouin 20%
Liban Mohamed 5.1%
Brian King <1%
$29,110 Vol.
$29,110 Vol.
Ben McAdams
75%
Nate Blouin
20%
Liban Mohamed
22%
Brian King
1%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Luz Escamilla
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Kathleen Riebe
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
Michael Farrell
<1%
Ben McAdams 75%
Nate Blouin 20%
Liban Mohamed 5.1%
Brian King <1%
$29,110 Vol.
$29,110 Vol.
Ben McAdams
75%
Nate Blouin
20%
Liban Mohamed
22%
Brian King
1%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Luz Escamilla
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Kathleen Riebe
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
Michael Farrell
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams commands trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by his fundraising dominance—over $1 million raised—and name recognition from his 2019-2021 House term in a predecessor district. State Sen. Nate Blouin holds 19.5% amid progressive endorsements from Our Revolution and attacks portraying McAdams as overly moderate with corporate PAC ties, though Blouin's old social media posts criticizing the LDS Church have drawn backlash. Newcomer Liban Mohamed surged to 6.6% after his April 25 state convention upset via ranked-choice voting over McAdams, securing party nomination support, but early polls showing McAdams leading persist ahead of June 2 ballot drop.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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