Former U.S. Representative Ben McAdams commands 71% trader consensus in the Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary due to his commanding lead in March polling (36% support), superior fundraising exceeding rivals by nearly $1 million, and strong name recognition from prior House service and Salt Lake County mayoral tenure, appealing in the open primary where independents vote. State Senator Nate Blouin trails at 19.5% buoyed by progressive endorsements amid debates over his record, while newcomer Liban Mohamed's 12% reflects momentum from his April 25 state convention upset victory via ranked-choice voting (51%-49% over McAdams), energizing activist delegates ahead of the June 23 ballot. No new polls have emerged post-convention, underscoring McAdams' frontrunner status in this blue-leaning district redraw.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertBen McAdams 71%
Nate Blouin 20%
Liban Mohamed 5.1%
Brian King <1%
$28,965 Vol.
$28,965 Vol.
Ben McAdams
71%
Nate Blouin
20%
Liban Mohamed
10%
Brian King
1%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Luz Escamilla
<1%
Kathleen Riebe
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
Michael Farrell
<1%
Ben McAdams 71%
Nate Blouin 20%
Liban Mohamed 5.1%
Brian King <1%
$28,965 Vol.
$28,965 Vol.
Ben McAdams
71%
Nate Blouin
20%
Liban Mohamed
10%
Brian King
1%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Luz Escamilla
<1%
Kathleen Riebe
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
Michael Farrell
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. Representative Ben McAdams commands 71% trader consensus in the Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary due to his commanding lead in March polling (36% support), superior fundraising exceeding rivals by nearly $1 million, and strong name recognition from prior House service and Salt Lake County mayoral tenure, appealing in the open primary where independents vote. State Senator Nate Blouin trails at 19.5% buoyed by progressive endorsements amid debates over his record, while newcomer Liban Mohamed's 12% reflects momentum from his April 25 state convention upset victory via ranked-choice voting (51%-49% over McAdams), energizing activist delegates ahead of the June 23 ballot. No new polls have emerged post-convention, underscoring McAdams' frontrunner status in this blue-leaning district redraw.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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