Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams leads trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability for the UT-01 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his fundraising dominance, prior congressional experience, and endorsements like Kathleen Riebe's April dropout backing him over state Sen. Nate Blouin's "volatile" image. Blouin's 19.5% reflects progressive endorsements from figures like Rep. Pramila Jayapal amid backlash from resurfaced decade-old posts mocking Latter-day Saints and crude remarks, yet he persists with attacks on McAdams' moderate record. Liban Mohamed's 6.2% stems from his April 26 convention upset via ranked-choice voting, boosting his newcomer profile but splitting progressive support in this new blue-leaning district from court-ordered redistricting. Early polls showed McAdams ahead, with recent X chatter highlighting vote fragmentation favoring the frontrunner ahead of mail-in ballots.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertBen McAdams 75%
Nate Blouin 20%
Liban Mohamed 6.0%
Brian King <1%
$29,032 Vol.
$29,032 Vol.
Ben McAdams
75%
Nate Blouin
20%
Liban Mohamed
6%
Brian King
1%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Luz Escamilla
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Kathleen Riebe
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
Michael Farrell
<1%
Ben McAdams 75%
Nate Blouin 20%
Liban Mohamed 6.0%
Brian King <1%
$29,032 Vol.
$29,032 Vol.
Ben McAdams
75%
Nate Blouin
20%
Liban Mohamed
6%
Brian King
1%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Luz Escamilla
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Kathleen Riebe
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
Michael Farrell
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams leads trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability for the UT-01 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his fundraising dominance, prior congressional experience, and endorsements like Kathleen Riebe's April dropout backing him over state Sen. Nate Blouin's "volatile" image. Blouin's 19.5% reflects progressive endorsements from figures like Rep. Pramila Jayapal amid backlash from resurfaced decade-old posts mocking Latter-day Saints and crude remarks, yet he persists with attacks on McAdams' moderate record. Liban Mohamed's 6.2% stems from his April 26 convention upset via ranked-choice voting, boosting his newcomer profile but splitting progressive support in this new blue-leaning district from court-ordered redistricting. Early polls showed McAdams ahead, with recent X chatter highlighting vote fragmentation favoring the frontrunner ahead of mail-in ballots.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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